Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 37

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	CRB Maceio		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3	2.9
	2.4	3.1	3	Watch
	2.52	3.1	3.2
	2.52	3	3.19
	2.25	3.2	3
	2.41	3.06	3.13	Watch
	2.38	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.06)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	3.06 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
38.9%

Draw
30.5%

Tombense
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

29.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

29.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CRB Maceio's form might have worsened.

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CRB Maceio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tombense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	38.5%	15.4%

CRB Maceio - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tombense will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CRB: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitor Caetano (G) 32. Hereda 3. Gum (C) 44. Matheus Mega 6. Guilherme Romao 98. Lucas Falcao 33. Lucas Lima 18. Joao Paulo 7. Mike 38. Leo Pereira 9. Anselmo Ramon	1. Felipe Garcia (G) 2. Kevin 4. Augusto 3. Wesley 6. Egidio 5. Joao Pedro 8. Bruninho 10. Matheus Frizzo 11. Keke 9. Fernandao (C) 7. Guilherme Santos
Substitutes
14. Anderson Conceicao 22. Anderson Leite 5. Auremir 29. Bruno Costa 4. Fabio Alemao 21. Jailson Caua 16. Jonathan Copete 99. Julio Cesar (G) 8. Juninho Valoura 10. Rafael Longuine 77. Romulo Souza 23. Saimon	15. Bruno Silva 17. Daniel Amorim 16. Jaderson 19. Kleiton 12. Leo Lang (G) 21. Marcelinho 14. Mateus Buiate 13. Pedro Costa 18. Rafinha 22. Robert 20. Ze Vitor
Coaches
Paulista D.	Junior M.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

CRB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches CRB won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
11.11.23	Avaí - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
07.11.23	CRB Maceio - Chapecoense	3:2 ✺
29.10.23	Londrina - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	CRB Maceio - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Ituano - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTLT
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
11.11.23	Tombense - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Tombense	1:2 ✺
30.10.23	Chapecoense - Tombense	1:2 ✺
19.10.23	Tombense - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.07.23	Tombense - CRB Maceio	2:1
08.10.22	Tombense - CRB Maceio	1:2
29.06.22	CRB Maceio - Tombense	0:0

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