Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 35

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, BandSports, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV 3, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Ituano		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.4	2.95	2.9
	2.5	3	3	Watch
	2.54	3.05	3.2
	2.46	2.96	3.11	Watch
	2.4	3	3
	2.44	3.08	3.03	Watch
	2.5	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.49)	3.02 ↑ (3)	3.04 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ituano
38.1%

Draw
31.1%

CRB Maceio
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

31%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

31.3%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Ituano - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). CRB will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ituano: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jefferson Paulino (C) 2. Marcinho 3. Claudinho 4. Guilherme Mariano 6. Guilherme Lazaroni 5. Rodrigo 10. Jose Aldo 8. Yann Rolim 7. Vinicius Paiva 9. Thonny Anderson 11. Salatiel	12. Matheus Albino (G) 32. Hereda 4. Saimon 3. Segovia L. 66. Ryan Carlos 33. Joao Pedro 98. Falcao 14. Chay 30. Labandeira F. 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 38. Leo Pereira
Substitutes
19. Alvaro 18. de Almeida J. V. X. 14. Erik 23. Gabriel Falcao 21. Joao Carlos 13. Leo Duarte 22. Leozinho 15. Luiz Gustavo 17. Neto Berola 16. Richard 1. Saulo (G)	34. Darlisson 99. Getulio 26. Gustavo Henrique 75. Kleiton 35. Marco Antonio 2. Matheus Ribeiro 7. Mike 10. Rafael Bilu 16. Rai 17. Romulo 1. Vitor Caetano (G)
Coaches
Elias C.	Helio dos Anjos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Falcao 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Jose Aldo (Pen),
23', 1 - 1, Chay ⚽,
36', Salatiel 🟨,
37', Joao Pedro 🟨,
40', Anselmo Ramon 🟨,
40', Saimon 🟨,
45+5', Ryan Carlos 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ryan Carlos ↓, Matheus Ribeiro ↑,
60', Labandeira F. ↓, Kleiton ↑,
64', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Neto Berola ↑,
69', Anselmo Ramon ↓, Getulio ↑,
69', Chay ↓, Rafael Bilu ↑,
75', Rodrigo ↓, Leozinho ↑,
76', Falcao ↓, Romulo ↑,
86', Marcinho ↓, Leo Duarte ↑,
86', Yann Rolim ↓, Alvaro ↑,
86', Salatiel ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
88', Jose Aldo 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Getulio ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', Kleiton 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ituano won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ituano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
28.10.24	Ituano - Santos	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Botafogo SP - Ituano	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Ituano - Ceará	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Brusque - Ituano	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Ituano - Guarani	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLLW
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
28.10.24	Coritiba - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	CRB Maceio - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Brusque - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Guarani - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	CRB Maceio - Paysandu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.07.24	CRB Maceio - Ituano	1:0
14.10.23	Ituano - CRB Maceio	0:0
21.06.23	CRB Maceio - Ituano	2:2
01.10.22	Ituano - CRB Maceio	1:0
17.06.22	CRB Maceio - Ituano	1:1

Upcoming Matches