Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)


	CS Alagoano		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.2	5.5
	1.74	3.05	5.5
	1.71	3.2	5.2
	1.74	3.33	6.3
	1.75	3.1	5.5
	1.71	3.3	5.5
	1.72	3.25	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.88)	3.2 ↑ (2.88)	5.53 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
54.1%

Draw
29.1%

Londrina
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

31.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

31.1%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CS Alagoano's performance.

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	25.9%	14.8%

CS Alagoano - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Londrina will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSA: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 9).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

CSA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match CSA is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches CSA won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.22	CS Alagoano - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
04.10.22	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
30.09.22	CS Alagoano - Guarani	1:2 ✺
26.09.22	CS Alagoano - Tombense	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Chapecoense - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLLWL
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
08.10.22	Londrina - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
03.10.22	Guarani - Londrina	1:0 ✺
29.09.22	Vasco da Gama - Londrina	1:1 ✺
23.09.22	Londrina - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
16.09.22	Tombense - Londrina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.07.22	Londrina - CS Alagoano	0:0
18.09.21	Londrina - CS Alagoano	0:2
20.06.21	CS Alagoano - Londrina	1:0
04.09.18	CS Alagoano - Londrina	4:1
19.05.18	Londrina - CS Alagoano	1:2

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