Match Info

Date: 29 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Estádio Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)


	Vasco da Gama		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.2	5.75
	1.62	3.25	5.75
	1.68	3.25	5.4
	1.68	3.46	6.76
	1.67	3.2	6
	1.67	3.36	5.75	Watch
	1.7	3.25	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)	3.28 ↑ (3.03)	5.83 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
55.7%

Draw
28.3%

Londrina
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

30.6%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

30.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.7%	7%	12.3%

Vasco da Gama - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (46 of 57 users predict this - 80.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.45% – 90.95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vasco is a favorite.

There will not play in Vasco: Gabriel Dias (Injury) Riquelme (Injury)

There will not play in Londrina: Leandrinho (Red Card) Victor Souza (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
21.09.22	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
16.09.22	Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe	4:1 ✺
11.09.22	Grêmio - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Brusque - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
31.08.22	Vasco da Gama - Guarani	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
23.09.22	Londrina - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
16.09.22	Tombense - Londrina	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Londrina - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	1:0 ✺
30.08.22	Londrina - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.06.22	Londrina - Vasco da Gama	0:1
28.11.21	Londrina - Vasco da Gama	3:0
18.08.21	Vasco da Gama - Londrina	1:2
08.10.16	Vasco da Gama - Londrina	1:0
21.06.16	Londrina - Vasco da Gama	0:1

Upcoming Matches