Match Info

Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Rostov Arena (Rostov)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rostov		CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.81	1.98
	3.60	3.75	1.96
	3.68	3.70	2.03	Watch
	3.40	3.35	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.1)	3.65 ↑ (3.23)	1.99 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
26.3%

Draw
26%

CSKA Moscow
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27.4%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

27.2%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Rostov - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Rostov (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): CSKA Moscow will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rostov (votes: 1 - 25%). CSKA (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Golikov D. A. (G) 73. Aznaurov I. 59. Babakin N. 17. Golenkov E. (C) 80. Madrakhimov K. 4. Melekhin V. 27. Prokhin D. 22. Semenchuk D. 21. Shantaliy D. 13. Titov D. 40. Ygor Nogueira	39. Borisko M. (G) 23. Abdulkadyrov D. 52. Bandikyan A. 22. Gajic M. 17. Glebov K. 32. Gondou L. 3. Krugovoy D. 90. Lukin M. 7. Matheus Alves 2. Matheus Reis 10. Oblyakov I. (C)
Substitutes
11. Ajasa I. M. 10. Komarov I. 18. Kuchaev K. 5. Mikhailov Y. 8. Mironov A. 16. Mukhin M. 6. Olusegun O. 84. Petrov A. (G) 39. Radchenko M. 3. Sako O. 91. Shamonin A. 99. Suleymanov T.	99. Barovskiy N. (G) 79. Danilov K. 62. Firov I. 37. Henrique Carmo 4. Joao Victor 18. Kozlov D. 11. Musaev T. 87. Ponomarchuk A. 20. Popovic M. 49. Torop V. (G) 84. Vakulich A.
Coaches
Alba J.	Igdisamov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Gajic M. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Melekhin V. ↓, Sako O. ↑,
46', Ygor Nogueira ↓, Radchenko M. ↑,
56', Abdulkadyrov D. 🟨,
58', Titov D. ↓, Komarov I. ↑,
58', Madrakhimov K. ↓, Mukhin M. ↑,
66', Glebov K. ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Aznaurov I. ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, Prokhin D. ⚽, Suleymanov T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rostov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, CSKA has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

CSKA Moscow: 6.97% FK Rostov: 1.39%

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.55%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

CSKA Moscow - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 44.04%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
29.08.26	Krasnodar - Rostov	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Akhmat Grozny - Rostov	4:1 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	Rostov - Rubin Kazan	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWTT
- CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League
28.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Fakel	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
08.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	0:0
21.04.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	1:1
Club Friendly
18.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	3:1
Russian Premier League
14.09.25	Rostov - CSKA Moscow	1:0
Russian Cup
01.06.25	Rostov - CSKA Moscow	0:1 penalties
Club Friendly
31.01.25	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	1:0
Russian Premier League
23.11.24	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	1:2

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