Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Principe Felipe (Cáceres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Cacereño		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.88	2.75
	2.52	2.92	2.82
	2.48	3.02	2.97
	2.73	2.87	2.82	Watch
	2.45	2.75	2.8
	2.57	3.01	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.58)	2.91 ↓ (3.09)	2.84 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
36.2%

Draw
31.5%

Lugo
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.9%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Cacereño - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Quevedo A. (G) 3. Barrio J. 21. Alonso J. 2. Martinez Munoz I. 22. Hernandez E. 17. Berlanga M. 6. Conesa N. 10. Hyjek J. 18. Sanchis R. 15. Monerris A. 20. Palacin P.	1. Martinez M. (G) 2. Rodriguez Y. 3. Garriz I. 24. Gaya J. 6. Haro P. 7. Gonzalez J. 14. Presa K. 12. Perera A. 5. Gallar A. 15. Reniero N. 19. Unzueta I.
Substitutes
4. Crespo A. 5. de Diego J. 7. Fernandez I. 19. Gomez C. 9. Gomez D. 16. Gutierrez D. 12. Kaptoum W. 1. Nieves D. (G) 11. Sanchidrian R. 25. Vazquez K.	10. Alba T. 17. Caballo D. 9. Celorio N. 16. Jose Amo 23. Junior L. 20. Lopez I. 11. Pastrana V. 13. Piedra I. (G) 22. Samanes S. 25. Sanchez B. 21. Teofilovic O. 4. Trigueros P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Perera A. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Reniero N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sanchis R. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
55', Conesa N. ↓, Kaptoum W. ↑,
60', Barrio J. 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Unzueta I. ⚽,
69', Barrio J. ↓, de Diego J. ↑,
69', Berlanga M. ↓, Sanchidrian R. ↑,
71', Gonzalez J. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
71', Unzueta I. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
76', Monerris A. ↓, Fernandez I. ↑,
83', Perera A. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
84', 🟨,
90+1', Gallar A. ↓, Pastrana V. ↑,
90+1', Reniero N. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Sanchidrian R. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Cacereño is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lugo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cacereño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lugo	6	5	1	0	9:3	6	16
4	Cacereno	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.03.26	Real Avilés - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cacereño - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Ferrol - Cacereño	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Cacereño - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:3 ✺
22.02.26	Mérida AD - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLTL
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.03.26	Lugo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Lugo - Real Madrid Castilla	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Tenerife - Lugo	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Pontevedra - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.10.25	Lugo - Cacereño	1:0

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