Match Info

National - Round 14

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Caen		Bourg-Péronnas

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.65
	1.67	3.62	5.03
	1.68	3.44	4.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.56)	3.52 ↓ (3.77)	4.79 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
54.6%

Draw
26.1%

Bourg-Péronnas
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

24.5%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.7%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Bourg-Péronnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Caen - Bourg Péronnas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Bourg-Péronnas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 2. Vinicius Gomes 23. Morante L. 28. Sagnan S. 17. Labonne R. 14. Rajot L. 5. Dali Amar B. 6. M'Vila Y. (C) 26. Etuin M. 19. Botella I. 24. Milliner L.	1. Boulhendi T. (G) 19. Sylla M. 13. Conte M. 4. Do Marcolino A. 12. Pembele A. 28. Slimani R. 10. Meyer J. (C) 21. Bodmer M. 3. Koite C. 7. Guel M. 17. Boumaaoui M.
Substitutes
25. Bagbema Z. 7. Diakite A. 11. Gnanduillet A. 22. Hafid M. 12. Mazie O.	9. Besic B. 5. Lacour Q. 16. Mazuy A. (G) 18. Tankiev B. 2. Touray S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Koite C. 🟨,
28', Vinicius Gomes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dali Amar B. ↓, Mazie O. ↑,
46', Vinicius Gomes ↓, Mazie O. ↑,
56', Etuin M. 🟨,
57', 🟨,
62', Slimani R. 🟨,
67', Boumaaoui M. ↓, Besic B. ↑,
67', Pembele A. ↓, Lacour Q. ↑,
68', Bodmer M. 🟨,
76', Meyer J. ↓, Touray S. ↑,
84', Mazie O. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
85', Milliner L. ↓, Gnanduillet A. ↑,
90', Guel M. ↓, Tankiev B. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Gnanduillet A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Caen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Caen is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 3
07.11.25	Caen - Paris 13 Atletico	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Stade Briochin - Caen	1:1 ✺
21.10.25	Caen - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Orleans - Caen	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Caen - Le Puy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTLW
- FC Bourg-Péronnas
Coupe De France
15.11.25	Atlas Paillade - Bourg-Péronnas	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 3
07.11.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Dijon	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Bourg-Péronnas	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Fleury 91	2:2 ✺
17.10.25	Stade Briochin - Bourg-Péronnas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLTW

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