Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 17

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Caen		Clermont

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.9
	2.25	3.3	3.1
	2.13	3.39	3.43
	2.28	3.26	3.13	Watch
	2.38	3.2	3
	2.36	3.2	3.17	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.11)	3.28 ↓ (3.38)	3.12 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
41.2%

Draw
28.6%

Clermont
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

22.7%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.8%	39.1%	13%

Caen - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Clermont will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caen: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 3. Bolumbu D. 91. Ntim E. 29. Thomas R. (C) 4. Henry V. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 7. Gomis T. 10. Brahimi B. 20. Lebreton N. 14. Rajot L. 19. Mendy A.	1. N'Diaye M. (G) 15. Konate C. O. 12. Da Silva D. 97. Jacquet J. 31. Diallo B. 37. Diagouraga T. 25. Gastien J. 7. Magnin Y. 6. Keita H. 26. Bassouamina M. 11. Douane M.
Substitutes
16. Clementia Y. (G) 18. Coulibaly K. 17. Kyeremeh G. 8. Le Bihan M. 50. Najim I. 25. Sy L. 39. Tome G.	22. Armougom Y. 77. Baaloudj M. 70. Diaby Y. 30. Guivarch T. (G) 92. Maurer A. 28. M'Bahia I. 20. Mwimba J.
Coaches
Baltazar B.	Batlles L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Rajot L. 🟨,
39', Douane M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Gaucho Debohi D. 🟨,
56', Ntim E. ↓, Tome G. ↑,
70', Gomis T. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
71', Diagouraga T. ↓, Diaby Y. ↑,
71', Douane M. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
80', Bassouamina M. ↓, Armougom Y. ↑,
82', Henry V. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
82', Brahimi B. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
84', Keita H. 🟨,
89', 0 - 1, Diaby Y. ⚽, Baaloudj M. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently Caen have a series of guest games.

Caen will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Caen: Henry V. (Calf Injury) M'Vila Y. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Clermont: Inchaud M. (Broken ankle)

There are questionable in Caen: Traore B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Caen won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.7:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Guingamp - Caen	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
16.12.24	Dunkerque - Caen	3:1 ✺
06.12.24	Laval - Caen	1:0 ✺
22.11.24	Caen - Rodez	3:3 ✺
Coupe De France
16.11.24	Chartres - Caen	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLTW
- Clermont Foot
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Sochaux - Clermont	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Clermont - Rodez	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Annecy - Clermont	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Clermont - Metz	1:1 ✺
08.11.24	Ajaccio - Clermont	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
15.05.21	Caen - Clermont	2:1
22.08.20	Clermont - Caen	0:0
20.12.19	Caen - Clermont	0:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
28.10.14	Caen - Clermont	4:3 ET
French Ligue 2
28.02.14	Caen - Clermont	2:1
24.09.13	Clermont - Caen	2:2
25.01.13	Clermont - Caen	0:0

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