Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 35

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Referee: Legat P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Caen		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.5	3.9
	1.8	3.55	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.68	4.28
	1.83	3.4	4.2
	1.86	3.68	4.05	Watch
	1.84	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.67)	3.56 ↑ (3.3)	4.15 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
51%

Draw
26.4%

Nîmes
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

25.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Caen - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: Caen will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Caen has the most likely position - 4 (30.28%), project points - 58, currently - 52, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (1%), not chance of win league.

Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (57.7%), project points - 38, currently - 33, a good chance of relegated (87%), not chance of promoted.

This event has quality 32, small importance 25, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 2.

Recent matches Caen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nîmes is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Caen is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Caen won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
06.05.23	Bordeaux - Caen	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Caen - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Niort - Caen	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Caen - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Quevilly - Caen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
06.05.23	Nîmes - Valenciennes	3:3 ✺
29.04.23	Nîmes - Pau	3:2 ✺
22.04.23	Paris FC - Nîmes	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Nîmes - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Amiens - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.07.22	Nîmes - Caen	0:1
12.02.22	Caen - Nîmes	4:0
28.08.21	Nîmes - Caen	0:0
French Ligue 1
06.04.19	Nîmes - Caen	2:0
05.12.18	Caen - Nîmes	1:2
French Ligue 2
13.05.14	Caen - Nîmes	1:1
05.10.13	Nîmes - Caen	2:1

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