Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Onefootball


	Auxerre		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.85
	2.52	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.61	3.25	3
	2.54	3.17	2.91	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.8
	2.55	3.37	2.93	Watch
	2.54	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.47)	3.22 ↓ (3.22)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
37.7%

Draw
29.6%

Paris FC
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

29.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Paris FC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	38.9%	36.1%

Auxerre - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). Paris FC will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 56.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Paris FC (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 27. Sy L. 20. Diomande S. 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 8. Ahamada N. 42. Owusu E. (C) 5. Danois K. 7. Casimir J. 19. Namaso D. 10. Sinayoko L.	35. Trapp K. (G) 7. Gory A. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 6. Otavio 19. Sangui N. 10. Kebbal I. 21. Lopez M. 17. Camara A. 27. Simon M. 36. Immobile C.
Substitutes
21. Coulibaly L. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 28. Faivre R. 9. Mara S. 24. Okoh B. 22. Oppegard F. 29. Senaya M. 41. Zaddy Y.	42. Coppola D. 9. Geubbels W. 93. Ikone J. 24. Koleosho L. 11. Krasso J. 4. Marchetti V. 18. Munetsi M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 2. Ollila T.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Camara A. 🟨,
34', Kebbal I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Camara A. ↓, Munetsi M. ↑,
59', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
61', Casimir J. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
63', Simon M. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
63', Kebbal I. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
72', Lopez M. 🟨,
78', Ahamada N. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
79', Immobile C. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
90+2', Mbow M. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.

Auxerre is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Paris FC has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Sierralta F. (Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Chergui S. (Injury) De Smet T. (Injury) Dicko N. (Inactive) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Lees-Melou P. (Shin Injury)

There are questionable in Paris FC: Traore H. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Paris FC: 1.81% Auxerre: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7:12	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Toulouse - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lens - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Brest - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Auxerre - Monaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLL
- Paris FC
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Lorient - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Paris FC - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Paris FC - Angers	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Nantes - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
12.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
29.11.25	Paris FC - Auxerre	1:1
French Ligue 2
04.05.24	Auxerre - Paris FC	2:0
07.10.23	Paris FC - Auxerre	0:2
01.02.22	Auxerre - Paris FC	1:2
16.08.21	Paris FC - Auxerre	1:1
13.03.21	Auxerre - Paris FC	0:0
21.11.20	Paris FC - Auxerre	0:3

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