The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caernarfon Town 49.5%
Draw 24.9%
Newtown 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
23.9%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
24%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Caernarfon Town - Newtown Predictions
Users Predictions:
Caernarfon Town will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Thomas H. (G) 7. Clarke Z. 21. Faux J. 15. Hill M. 3. Jones M. 11. Lloyd L. 18. Mendes P. 5. Mooney P. 27. Sears R. 10. Thomas D. 4. Williams G.
1. Swindell A. (G) 8. Evans R. 24. Hughes G. 11. Ismail Z. 10. Lock J. 9. Oswell J. 26. Pryce R. 3. Roberts C. 27. Smith D. 6. Sutton S. 14. Williams A.
Substitutes
32. Davies M. 20. Edwards S. 39. Ellis O. 16. Evans O. 40. Griffith C. 2. Owen M. 33. Williams C.
17. Boakye H. 31. Guest B. 33. Hollinshead T. 32. Roberts A. 22. Smith C. 34. Smout I. 13. Ussher S. (G)
Coaches
Davies R.
Ruscoe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Ismail Z. (Pen),
15', 0 - 1, Lock J. ⚽,
38', Ismail Z. 🟨,
44', Mendes P. 🟨,
45+2', Thomas D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, Evans R. ⚽,
62', Oswell J. 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Lloyd L. (Pen),
64', Faux J. ↓, Owen M. ↑,
64', Ismail Z. ↓, Hollinshead T. ↑,
65', Hill M. 🟨,
71', Lock J. ↓, Guest B. ↑,
72', Williams G. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
74', Clarke Z. ↓, Evans O. ↑,
75', Jones M. ↓, Edwards S. ↑,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Caernarfon won 3.
Caernarfon in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Newtown is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Caernarfon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Caernarfon have a series of guest games.
Caernarfon will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Caernarfon won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 29:43 (average 1.5:2.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Caernarfon won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.7:1.8).
Watch
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Thomas H. (G) 
Clarke Z. 
Mendes P. 
Boakye H. 
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