Match Info

Serie A - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 5
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Cagliari		Pisa

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	4	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.7	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.77
	2.12	3.13	3.91	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.75
	2.24	3.2	3.91
	2.2	3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.2)	3.08 ↓ (3.33)	3.83 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
44.1%

Draw
31%

Pisa
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.5%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	17.3%	9.6%

Cagliari - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 38 - 73.1%). Pisa will win (votes: 5 - 9.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 17.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 61% – 85.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Pisa (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Pisa (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Pisa (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 8 - 40%). Pisa (votes: 4 - 20%). Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 2. Palestra M. 15. Rodriguez J. 26. Mina Y. 33. Obert A. 8. Adopo M. 14. Deiola A. (C) 90. Folorunsho M. 10. Gaetano G. 94. Esposito Se. 9. Kilicsoy S.	1. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 15. Toure I. 36. Piccinini G. 8. Hojholt M. 20. Aebischer M. 3. Angori S. 10. Tramoni M. 9. Meister H.
Substitutes
29. Borrelli G. 21. Cavuoti N. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 18. Di Pardo A. 3. Idrissi R. 6. Luperto S. 4. Mazzitelli L. 30. Pavoletti L. 23. Pintus N. 16. Prati M. 31. Radunovic B. (G) 20. Rog M. 37. Trepy Y. 28. Zappa G.	39. Albiol R. 16. Buffon L. 33. Calabresi A. 26. Coppola F. 44. Denoon D. 19. Esteves T. 7. Leris M. 99. Lorran 6. Marin M. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 76. Mbambi J. 32. Moreo S. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 22. Scuffet S. (G) 21. Vural I.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Gilardino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Tramoni M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Obert A. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
52', Adopo M. 🟨,
54', Mina Y. 🟨,
55', Adopo M. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Folorunsho M. ⚽, Zappa G. (A),
63', Folorunsho M. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
67', Bonfanti G. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Kilicsoy S. ⚽, Gaetano G. (A),
73', Hojholt M. ↓, Vural I. ↑,
74', Piccinini G. ↓, Moreo S. ↑,
74', Bonfanti G. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,
79', Esposito Se. 🟨,
82', Toure I. ↓, Lorran ↑,
82', Tramoni M. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
82', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
83', Gaetano G. ↓, Cavuoti N. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Moreo S. ⚽, Leris M. (A),
90+3', Calabresi A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Cagliari might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Liteta J. (International duty) Luvumbo Z. (International duty) Pedro J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pisa: Akinsanmiro E. (International duty) Cuadrado J. (Muscle Injury) Nzola M. (Red Card) Stengs C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Cagliari: Borrelli G. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
13.12.25	Atalanta - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Cagliari - Roma	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Napoli - Cagliari	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Juventus - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Cagliari - Genoa	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLLT
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
12.12.25	Lecce - Pisa	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Pisa - Parma	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Pisa - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	2:2 ✺
07.11.25	Pisa - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.04.23	Pisa - Cagliari	0:0
12.11.22	Cagliari - Pisa	1:1
Coppa Italia
14.08.21	Cagliari - Pisa	3:1

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