Match Info

Serie A - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
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New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
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Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
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Thailand	True Premier Football 4
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Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football


	Cagliari		Roma

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.5	1.65	Watch
	5.4	3.55	1.7	Watch
	6.4	3.55	1.69
	5.86	3.56	1.68	Watch
	5.5	3.4	1.67
	5.94	3.62	1.7
	6	3.66	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↑ (5.15)	3.55 ↓ (3.69)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
16.3%

Draw
26.8%

Roma
56.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.4%

25.7%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

24.8%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.5%	4.8%	88.7%

Cagliari - Roma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Roma (2.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Roma (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (51 of 58 users predict this - 87.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.55% – 96.31%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Roma (votes: 12 - 92.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 28. Zappa G. 15. Rodriguez J. 6. Luperto S. 2. Palestra M. 8. Adopo M. 14. Deiola A. (C) 90. Folorunsho M. 33. Obert A. 29. Borrelli G. 94. Esposito Se.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 12. Tsimikas K. 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 35. Baldanzi T.
Substitutes
21. Cavuoti N. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 18. Di Pardo A. 10. Gaetano G. 3. Idrissi R. 9. Kilicsoy S. 27. Liteta J. 77. Luvumbo Z. 30. Pavoletti L. 23. Pintus N. 16. Prati M. 31. Radunovic B. (G) 20. Rog M.	68. Arena A. 31. Bailey L. 21. Dybala P. 8. El Aynaoui N. 92. El Shaarawy S. 11. Ferguson E. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Celik Z. 🟥,
53', Baldanzi T. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
62', Soule M. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
63', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Dybala P. ↑,
63', Cristante B. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
69', Borrelli G. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
69', Zappa G. ↓, Prati M. ↑,
73', Tsimikas K. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
77', Obert A. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
78', Hermoso M. 🟨,
78', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Gaetano G. ⚽, Esposito Se. (A),
83', Gaetano G. 🟨,
90+2', Palestra M. ↓, Di Pardo A. ↑,
90+2', Folorunsho M. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0.

Cagliari is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Roma is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cagliari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cagliari has had a series of away games.

In this match, Roma is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Mazzitelli L. (Muscle Injury) Mina Y. (Contusion) Pedro J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Angelino (Illness) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dovbyk A. (Muscle Injury) Wesley Franca (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:41. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1.5:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Roma - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.84%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Napoli - Cagliari	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Juventus - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Cagliari - Genoa	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Como - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
03.11.25	Lazio - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTTL
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
30.11.25	Roma - Napoli	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Roma - Midtjylland	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.11.25	Cremonese - Roma	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Roma - Udinese	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Roma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.03.25	Roma - Cagliari	1:0
18.08.24	Cagliari - Roma	0:0
05.02.24	Roma - Cagliari	4:0
08.10.23	Cagliari - Roma	1:4
16.01.22	Roma - Cagliari	1:0
27.10.21	Cagliari - Roma	1:2
25.04.21	Cagliari - Roma	3:2

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