Match Info

Serie A - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Cagliari		Genoa

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.9	2.55	Watch
	3.25	2.78	2.62	Watch
	2.82	3	2.91
	2.73	3.02	2.82	Watch
	3.3	2.94	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.73)	2.93 ↓ (3.03)	2.7 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
31.4%

Draw
32.9%

Genoa
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

31.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

31.5%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.6%	65.6%	18.7%

Cagliari - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Genoa will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 67.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 28. Zappa G. 26. Mina Y. 6. Luperto S. 2. Palestra M. 14. Deiola A. (C) 16. Prati M. 90. Folorunsho M. 17. Felici M. 29. Borrelli G. 94. Esposito Se.	1. Leali N. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 17. Malinovskyi R. 32. Frendrup M. 2. Thorsby M. 3. Martin A. 9. Vitinha 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
8. Adopo M. 21. Cavuoti N. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 18. Di Pardo A. 10. Gaetano G. 3. Idrissi R. 9. Kilicsoy S. 27. Liteta J. 77. Luvumbo Z. 33. Obert A. 30. Pavoletti L. 23. Pintus N. 31. Radunovic B. (G) 15. Rodriguez J. 20. Rog M.	23. Carboni V. 21. Ekhator J. 18. Ekuban C. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 40. Fini S. 11. Gronbaek A. 73. Masini P. 34. Otoa S. 20. Sabelli S. 31. Siegrist B. (G) 39. Sommariva D. (G) 8. Stanciu N. 76. Venturino L.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	De Rossi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', Norton-Cuffy B. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Vitinha ⚽, Colombo L. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Borrelli G. ⚽, Palestra M. (A),
41', 1 - 2, Ostigard L. ⚽, Thorsby M. (A),
43', 2 - 2, Esposito Se. ⚽, Prati M. (A),
44', Deiola A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Prati M. 🟨,
57', Felici M. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
57', Prati M. ↓, Adopo M. ↑,
60', 3 - 2, Borrelli G. ⚽, Zappa G. (A),
67', Thorsby M. ↓, Gronbaek A. ↑,
68', Gronbaek A. 🟨,
71', Borrelli G. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
71', Esposito Se. ↓, Luvumbo Z. ↑,
76', Deiola A. ↓, Di Pardo A. ↑,
78', Vitinha ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
78', Marcandalli A. ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
83', Luperto S. 🟨,
83', 3 - 3, Martin A. ⚽,
86', Mina Y. 🟨,
88', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
88', Colombo L. ↓, Ellertsson M. E. ↑,
90+3', Norton-Cuffy B. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1.

Cagliari has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Genoa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Pedro J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Genoa: Cornet M. (Thigh Injury) Cuenca Martinez H. F. (Muscle Injury) Junior Messias (Muscle Injury) Onana J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Genoa: Ekuban C. (Injury) Otoa S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
08.11.25	Como - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
03.11.25	Lazio - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Cagliari - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Verona - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Cagliari - Bologna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLTL
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
03.11.25	Sassuolo - Genoa	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Genoa - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Torino - Genoa	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Genoa - Parma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
07.03.25	Cagliari - Genoa	1:1
24.11.24	Genoa - Cagliari	2:2
29.04.24	Genoa - Cagliari	3:0
05.11.23	Cagliari - Genoa	2:1
Italian Serie B
01.03.23	Cagliari - Genoa	0:0
07.10.22	Genoa - Cagliari	0:0
Italian Serie A
24.04.22	Genoa - Cagliari	1:0

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