Match Info

Serie A - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:45	beIN Connect
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Brazil	15:45	Disney+
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
China	02:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	13:45	ESPN
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	20:45	Match 4
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Iraq	21:45	Almanasa
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	21:45	Shasha
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	12:45	Disney+
New Zealand	06:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Saudi Arabia	21:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 4
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	19:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	21:45	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+
Vietnam	01:45	TV 360, VTVcab
International	18:45	Starzplay Sports app


	Cagliari		Torino

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.3
	2.42	2.98	3.35	Watch
	2.4	3.15	3.5
	2.42	2.88	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.44	3.13	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.52)	3.03 ↑ (2.88)	3.38 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
40.3%

Draw
31.5%

Torino
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

33%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

33.4%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	33.3%	38.1%

Cagliari - Torino Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Torino will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torino: 17.3% – 58.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 50%). Torino (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cagliari (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Torino (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 28. Zappa G. 26. Mina Y. 22. Dossena A. 33. Obert A. 8. Adopo M. 10. Gaetano G. 14. Deiola A. (C) 2. Palestra M. 94. Esposito Se. 31. Mendy P.	1. Paleari A. (G) 35. Marianucci L. 23. Coco S. 77. Ebosse E. 16. Pedersen M. 6. Ilkhan E. 4. Prati M. 33. Obrador R. 10. Vlasic N. 18. Simeone G. 91. Zapata D. (C)
Substitutes
20. Albarracin A. 19. Belotti A. 29. Borrelli G. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 90. Folorunsho M. 9. Kilicsoy S. 15. Rodriguez J. 12. Sherri A. (G) 25. Sulemana I.	94. Acquah W. 19. Adams C. 34. Biraghi C. 22. Casadei C. 8. Ilic I. 81. Israel F. (G) 17. Kulenovic S. 20. Lazaro V. 13. Maripan G. 92. Njie A. 25. Nkounkou N. 93. Pellini M. 83. Perciun S. 79. Savva Z. 99. Siviero L. (G)
Coaches
Pisacane F.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Obrador R. ⚽, Prati M. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Esposito Se. ⚽, Gaetano G. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Mina Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marianucci L. ↓, Maripan G. ↑,
59', Prati M. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
59', Zapata D. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
72', Adopo M. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
72', Deiola A. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
77', Pedersen M. ↓, Njie A. ↑,
82', Mendy P. 🟨,
82', Maripan G. 🟨,
83', Mendy P. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
83', Esposito Se. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
85', Ilkhan E. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Torino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cagliari will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.3:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Torino	9	4	1	4	14:14	0	13
10	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8:13	-5	13

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Torino: 0.07% Cagliari: 0.05%

Last Results with these Odds

Cagliari - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
09.05.26	Cagliari - Udinese	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Bologna - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
27.04.26	Cagliari - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
17.04.26	Inter Milan - Cagliari	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LTWLW
- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
08.05.26	Torino - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Udinese - Torino	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Torino - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Cremonese - Torino	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Torino - Verona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.12.25	Torino - Cagliari	1:2
24.01.25	Torino - Cagliari	2:0
20.10.24	Cagliari - Torino	3:2
26.01.24	Cagliari - Torino	1:2
21.08.23	Torino - Cagliari	0:0
27.02.22	Torino - Cagliari	1:2
06.12.21	Cagliari - Torino	1:1

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