Match Info

Serie A - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Starzplay Sports app


	Cagliari		Torino

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.3
	2.42	2.98	3.35	Watch
	2.4	3.15	3.5
	2.42	2.88	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.44	3.13	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.52)	3.03 ↑ (2.88)	3.38 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
40.3%

Draw
31.5%

Torino
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

33%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

33.9%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	33.3%	38.1%

Cagliari - Torino Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Torino will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torino: 17.3% – 58.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 50%). Torino (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cagliari (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Torino (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 28. Zappa G. 26. Mina Y. 22. Dossena A. 33. Obert A. 8. Adopo M. 10. Gaetano G. 14. Deiola A. (C) 2. Palestra M. 94. Esposito Se. 31. Mendy P.	1. Paleari A. (G) 35. Marianucci L. 23. Coco S. 77. Ebosse E. 16. Pedersen M. 6. Ilkhan E. 4. Prati M. 33. Obrador R. 10. Vlasic N. 18. Simeone G. 91. Zapata D. (C)
Substitutes
20. Albarracin A. 19. Belotti A. 29. Borrelli G. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 90. Folorunsho M. 9. Kilicsoy S. 15. Rodriguez J. 12. Sherri A. (G) 25. Sulemana I.	94. Acquah W. 19. Adams C. 34. Biraghi C. 22. Casadei C. 8. Ilic I. 81. Israel F. (G) 17. Kulenovic S. 20. Lazaro V. 13. Maripan G. 92. Njie A. 25. Nkounkou N. 93. Pellini M. 83. Perciun S. 79. Savva Z. 99. Siviero L. (G)
Coaches
Pisacane F.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Obrador R. ⚽, Prati M. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Esposito Se. ⚽, Gaetano G. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Mina Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marianucci L. ↓, Maripan G. ↑,
59', Prati M. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
59', Zapata D. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
72', Adopo M. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
72', Deiola A. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
77', Pedersen M. ↓, Njie A. ↑,
82', Mendy P. 🟨,
82', Maripan G. 🟨,
83', Mendy P. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
83', Esposito Se. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
85', Ilkhan E. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Torino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cagliari will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.3:1.9).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Cagliari: 0.38% Torino: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Cagliari - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
09.05.26	Cagliari - Udinese	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Bologna - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
27.04.26	Cagliari - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
17.04.26	Inter Milan - Cagliari	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LTWLW
- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
08.05.26	Torino - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Udinese - Torino	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Torino - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Cremonese - Torino	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Torino - Verona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.12.25	Torino - Cagliari	1:2
24.01.25	Torino - Cagliari	2:0
20.10.24	Cagliari - Torino	3:2
26.01.24	Cagliari - Torino	1:2
21.08.23	Torino - Cagliari	0:0
27.02.22	Torino - Cagliari	1:2
06.12.21	Cagliari - Torino	1:1

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