Match Info

Serie A - Round 34

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:30	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Armenia	20:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:30	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bolivia	12:30	ESPN 3
Brazil	13:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	00:30	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:30	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play
Ecuador	11:30	ESPN 3
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	18:30	DAZN France
Germany	18:30	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:30	COSMOTE Sport 1
Haiti	12:30	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	23:30	Vidio
Israel	19:30	ONE Sport 2
Italy	18:30	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1, ART Sport 2
Kuwait	19:30	Shasha
Macao	00:30	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	00:30	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	10:30	Disney+
Netherlands	18:30	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	04:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	18:30	VG+
Paraguay	12:30	ESPN 3
Peru	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	17:30	Sport TV2
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Saudi Arabia	19:30	STC TV
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	18:30	Sport 1
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	18:30	SuperSport Football
South Korea	01:30	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	18:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	23:30	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	17:30	Diwan Sport
Turkey	19:30	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United Kingdom	17:30	DAZN
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	23:30	TV 360, VTVcab
International	16:30	Starzplay Sports app


	Cagliari		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.73	Watch
	4.2	3.7	1.8
	4.7	3.7	1.75
	4.9	3.81	1.77
	4.8	3.81	1.73	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.73
	4.92	3.99	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.58)	3.77 ↓ (3.97)	1.76 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
20.4%

Draw
25.3%

Atalanta
54.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.8%

24%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

23.2%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14%	8.8%	77.2%

Cagliari - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 8 - 14.3%). Atalanta will win (votes: 43 - 76.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 65.7% – 87.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atalanta will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 32. Pedro J. 26. Mina Y. 15. Rodriguez J. 33. Obert A. 8. Adopo M. 10. Gaetano G. 14. Deiola A. (C) 90. Folorunsho M. 94. Esposito Se. 31. Mendy P.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 23. Kolasinac S. 16. Bellanova R. 15. De Roon M. (C) 8. Pasalic M. 77. Zappacosta D. 17. De Ketelaere C. 18. Raspadori G. 9. Scamacca G.
Substitutes
20. Albarracin A. 19. Belotti A. 29. Borrelli G. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 22. Dossena A. 9. Kilicsoy S. 27. Liteta J. 2. Palestra M. 18. Raterink O. 12. Sherri A. (G) 25. Sulemana I. 37. Trepy Y. 28. Zappa G.	69. Ahanor H. 5. Bakker M. 13. Ederson 4. Hien I. 3. Kossounou O. 90. Krstovic N. 6. Musah Y. 40. Obric R. 50. Pardel P. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K. 59. Zalewski N.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Mendy P. ⚽, Adopo M. (A),
8', 2 - 0, Mendy P. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Scamacca G. ⚽,
45', 2 - 2, Scamacca G. ⚽, Scalvini G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mendy P. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
47', 3 - 2, Borrelli G. ⚽,
56', Deiola A. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
56', Esposito Se. ↓, Palestra M. ↑,
56', Bellanova R. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
56', Zappacosta D. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
73', Rodriguez J. ↓, Dossena A. ↑,
73', Kolasinac S. ↓, Kossounou O. ↑,
73', De Roon M. ↓, Ederson ↑,
77', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
77', Borrelli G. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1.

Cagliari has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atalanta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cagliari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atalanta is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Cagliari: Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Knee Injury) Mazzitelli L. (Injury) Pavoletti L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Bernasconi L. (Injury) Hien I. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cagliari	7	4	1	2	6:7	-1	13
11	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	10:11	-1	9

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Atalanta: 0.88% Cagliari: 0.33%

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 55.29%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
17.04.26	Inter Milan - Cagliari	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Sassuolo - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Cagliari - Napoli	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Pisa - Cagliari	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Atalanta
Coppa Italia
22.04.26	Atalanta - Lazio	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
18.04.26	Roma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Atalanta - Juventus	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Lecce - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Atalanta - Verona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
13.12.25	Atalanta - Cagliari	2:1
15.02.25	Atalanta - Cagliari	0:0
14.12.24	Cagliari - Atalanta	0:1
07.04.24	Cagliari - Atalanta	2:1
24.09.23	Atalanta - Cagliari	2:0
06.02.22	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2
06.11.21	Cagliari - Atalanta	1:2

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