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Bologna - Cagliari

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 35
  • Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
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    Bologna Cagliari
    Bologna Cagliari
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.87 ↑
    (1.65)    		 3.42 ↓
    (3.78)    		 4.55 ↓
    (5.3)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Bologna
    51.1%    		Draw
    27.9%    		Cagliari
    21%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    57.2% 25% 17.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    53.5% 23.4% 23.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bologna's form might have worsened.
  • Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    66.7% 16.7% 16.7%

    Bologna - Cagliari Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Cagliari will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 49.8% โ€“ 83.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Cagliari (1.93) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 2 - 50%). Cagliari (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    25. ItalyPessina M. (G)
    29. ItalyDe Silvestri L. (C)
      5. NorwayFauske Helland E.
    26. ColombiaLucumi J.
    33. SpainMiranda J.
      6. CroatiaMoro N.
      8. SwitzerlandFreuler R.
    10. ItalyBernardeschi F.
    23. SwitzerlandSohm S.
    30. ArgentinaDominguez B.
    21. DenmarkOdgaard J.
    		  1. ItalyCaprile E. (G)
    32. PortugalPedro J.
    26. ColombiaMina Y.
    22. ItalyDossena A.
    33. SlovakiaObert A.
      2. ItalyPalestra M.
      8. FranceAdopo M.
    10. ItalyGaetano G.
    14. ItalyDeiola A. (C)
    94. ItalyEsposito Se.
    90. ItalyFolorunsho M.
    Substitutes
      9. ArgentinaCastro S.
    19. ScotlandFerguson L.
    12. ItalyGnudi R. (G)
    14. NorwayHeggem T.
    22. GreeceLykogiannis C.
      7. ItalyOrsolini R.
      4. ItalyPobega T.
    13. ItalyRavaglia F. (G)
    11. EnglandRowe J.
    41. CzechVitik M.
    20. ItalyZortea N.
    		20. UruguayAlbarracin A.
    19. ItalyBelotti A.
    24. ItalyCiocci G. (G)
      9. TurkeyKilicsoy S.
    31. SenegalMendy P.
    15. UruguayRodriguez J.
    12. AlbaniaSherri A. (G)
    25. GhanaSulemana I.
    37. FranceTrepy Y.
    28. ItalyZappa G.
    Coaches
         ItalyItaliano V.
    		     ItalyPisacane F.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 42', Deiola A. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Sohm S. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
    • 52', Adopo M. 🟨,
    • 63', Odgaard J. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
    • 63', Dominguez B. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
    • 68', Fauske Helland E. 🟨,
    • 73', Esposito Se. ↓, Mendy P. ↑,
    • 78', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Ferguson L. ↑,
    • 85', De Silvestri L. ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
    • 89', Adopo M. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
    • 90+5', Castro S. 🟨,

    Preview

  • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 4.
  • Bologna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Cagliari has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 2).
  • Cagliari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Bologna is considered a favorite.
  • There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Cambiaghi N. (Muscle Injury) Joao Mario (Injury)
  • There will not play in Cagliari: Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Knee Injury) Pavoletti L. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Bologna: Dallinga T. (Injury) Rowe J. (Muscle Injury) Skorupski L. (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Cagliari: Mazzitelli L. (Injury) Mendy P. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez J. (Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    10Cagliari94148:13-513
    11Bologna932412:12011

    Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Bologna: 0.24% Cagliari: 0.2%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Bologna FC
    Italian Serie A
    25.04.26 Bologna - Roma 0:2 ✺
    19.04.26 Juventus - Bologna 2:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa League
    16.04.26 Aston Villa - Bologna 4:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A
    12.04.26 Bologna - Lecce 2:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa League
    09.04.26 Bologna - Aston Villa 1:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7
    LLLWL
    - Cagliari Calcio
    Italian Serie A
    27.04.26 Cagliari - Atalanta 3:2 ✺
    17.04.26 Inter Milan - Cagliari 3:0 ✺
    11.04.26 Cagliari - Cremonese 1:0 ✺
    04.04.26 Sassuolo - Cagliari 2:1 ✺
    20.03.26 Cagliari - Napoli 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4
    WLWLL
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    19.10.25 Cagliari - Bologna 0:2
    02.03.25 Bologna - Cagliari 2:1
    29.10.24 Cagliari - Bologna 0:2
    14.01.24 Cagliari - Bologna 2:1
    02.09.23 Bologna - Cagliari 2:1
    Coppa Italia
    20.10.22 Bologna - Cagliari 1:0
    Italian Serie A
    11.01.22 Cagliari - Bologna 2:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Bologna FC
    Italian Serie A
    31.10.26 Bologna - Monza ✺
    - Cagliari Calcio
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Lazio - Cagliari ✺

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