Match Info

Serie A - Round 36

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cagliari		Udinese

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.9	Watch
	2.62	2.98	2.98	Watch
	2.68	3.05	3.06
	2.69	2.84	3.09	Watch
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.71	3.12	3.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.49)	3 ↓ (3.16)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
36.2%

Draw
31.8%

Udinese
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

30%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

31.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The chances for Udinese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	50%	43.7%

Cagliari - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Udinese will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Udinese (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (C) 32. Pedro J. 22. Dossena A. 15. Rodriguez J. 33. Obert A. 2. Palestra M. 8. Adopo M. 10. Gaetano G. 90. Folorunsho M. 31. Mendy P. 94. Esposito Se.	40. Okoye M. (G) 22. Mlacic B. 31. Kristensen T. 28. Solet O. 19. Ehizibue K. 24. Piotrowski J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 14. Atta A. 11. Kamara H. 10. Zaniolo N. 18. Buksa A.
Substitutes
20. Albarracin A. 19. Belotti A. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 14. Deiola A. 9. Kilicsoy S. 40. Malfitano R. 26. Mina Y. 18. Raterink O. 12. Sherri A. (G) 25. Sulemana I. 37. Trepy Y. 28. Zappa G.	20. Arizala J. 15. Bayo V. 13. Bertola N. 29. Camara A. 9. Davis K. 7. Gueye I. 38. Miller L. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O. 33. Zemura J.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Ehizibue K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Pedro J. 🟨,
55', Mlacic B. ↓, Bertola N. ↑,
55', Piotrowski J. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Buksa A. ⚽, Kamara H. (A),
62', Pedro J. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
62', Palestra M. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
65', Buksa A. ↓, Davis K. ↑,
73', Folorunsho M. ↓, Albarracin A. ↑,
78', Zaniolo N. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
78', Ehizibue K. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,
88', Adopo M. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
88', Obert A. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
90+2', Davis K. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, Gueye I. ⚽, Davis K. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Cagliari: Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Knee Injury) Liteta J. (Thigh Injury) Pavoletti L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Udinese: Ekkelenkamp J. (Leg Injury) Kabasele C. (Yellow Cards) Zanoli A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cagliari: Deiola A. (Thigh Injury) Mazzitelli L. (Injury) Raterink O. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Cagliari: 0.38% Udinese: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
03.05.26	Bologna - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
27.04.26	Cagliari - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
17.04.26	Inter Milan - Cagliari	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Sassuolo - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWLWL
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
02.05.26	Udinese - Torino	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Lazio - Udinese	3:3 ✺
18.04.26	Udinese - Parma	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Milan - Udinese	0:3 ✺
06.04.26	Udinese - Como	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
05.10.25	Udinese - Cagliari	1:1
03.05.25	Cagliari - Udinese	1:2
25.10.24	Udinese - Cagliari	2:0
18.02.24	Udinese - Cagliari	1:1
Coppa Italia
01.11.23	Udinese - Cagliari	1:2 ET
Italian Serie A
17.09.23	Cagliari - Udinese	0:0
03.04.22	Udinese - Cagliari	5:1

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