Match Info

Serie A - Round 33

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Inter Milan		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	13	Watch
	1.25	5.9	12.5	Watch
	1.26	6.47	14
	1.26	6.4	12.31	Watch
	1.22	5.75	11
	1.25	6.61	13.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.2)	6.27 ↓ (6.92)	12.67 ↓ (13.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
77.1%

Draw
15.3%

Cagliari
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.2%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.4%	12.5%	3.1%

Inter Milan - Cagliari Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Cagliari (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 1 - 50%). Cagliari (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Martinez J. (G) 25. Akanji M. 6. de Vrij S. 30. Carlos Augusto 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. (C) 20. Calhanoglu H. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. 94. Esposito F. 9. Thuram M.	1. Caprile E. (G) 32. Pedro J. 26. Mina Y. (C) 15. Rodriguez J. 2. Palestra M. 8. Adopo M. 10. Gaetano G. 25. Sulemana I. 33. Obert A. 94. Esposito Se. 29. Borrelli G.
Substitutes
15. Acerbi F. 51. Alexiou C. 14. Bonny A. 36. Darmian M. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 17. Diouf A. 16. Frattesi D. 11. Luis Henrique 48. Mosconi M. 1. Sommer Y. (G) 7. Zielinski P.	20. Albarracin A. 19. Belotti A. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 14. Deiola A. 22. Dossena A. 90. Folorunsho M. 9. Kilicsoy S. 27. Liteta J. 31. Mendy P. 18. Raterink O. 12. Sherri A. (G) 37. Trepy Y. 28. Zappa G.
Coaches
Chivu C.	Pisacane F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Esposito Se. 🟨,
25', Borrelli G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Thuram M. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
56', 2 - 0, Barella N. ⚽,
57', Borrelli G. ↓, Mendy P. ↑,
57', Gaetano G. ↓, Deiola A. ↑,
76', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
76', Thuram M. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
76', Dimarco F. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
76', Sulemana I. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
76', Obert A. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
85', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
88', Pedro J. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
89', Barella N. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Zielinski P. ⚽, Dumfries D. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 4.

Inter has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cagliari is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Inter is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Inter: Bastoni A. (Leg Injury) Bisseck Y. (Thigh Injury) Martinez L. (Injury) Sucic P. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Cagliari: Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Knee Injury) Mazzitelli L. (Injury) Pavoletti L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 51:15. (average 2.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:7. (average 2.5:0.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 45% Cagliari: 0.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Milan - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 79.23%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
12.04.26	Como - Inter Milan	3:4 ✺
05.04.26	Inter Milan - Roma	5:2 ✺
22.03.26	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Inter Milan - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Milan - Inter Milan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTTL
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
11.04.26	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Sassuolo - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Cagliari - Napoli	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Pisa - Cagliari	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Cagliari - Como	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.09.25	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:2
12.04.25	Inter Milan - Cagliari	3:1
28.12.24	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:3
14.04.24	Inter Milan - Cagliari	2:2
28.08.23	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:2
15.05.22	Cagliari - Inter Milan	1:3
12.12.21	Inter Milan - Cagliari	4:0

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