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Current Win Probability
Cajamarca 51.4%
Draw 26.1%
Carlos A. Mannucci 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60%
23.4%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
22%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.
Carlos A. Mannucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos A. Mannucci's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
22.2%
22.2%
Cajamarca - Carlos A. Mannucci Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Mannucci will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zubczuk P. (G) 24. Goyoneche P. 18. Gutierrez F. 4. Aparicio K. 26. Serrano B. 19. Marcos N. 20. Romero A. 15. Ojeda C. 10. Sanchez J. 9. Perlaza V. 11. Quintero J.
12. Heredia M. (G) 4. Saba E. 24. Rizzo G. 19. Miguez P. 13. Llontop M. 6. Viera G. 16. Benitez A. 10. Albarracin N. 21. Vidales J. 22. Urruti L. 7. Succar A.
Substitutes
30. Cantoro T. 17. Fernandez C. 3. Medina J. (G) 8. Ojeda A. 16. Perez J. 14. Ruiz K. 5. Segura J. 29. Tejada M.
14. Cortave M. 11. Cortes J. 2. Cossio A. 26. Franco E. (G) 5. Gaona M. 17. Liza P. 88. Quina N. 27. Rabanal E. 15. Velarde C.
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.
Paredes S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Aparicio K. ⚽, Gutierrez F. (A),
18', Viera G. 🟨,
26', Saba E. 🟨,
40', Marcos N. 🟨,
44', Quintero J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Succar A. 🟨,
55', Gutierrez F. 🟨,
60', Marcos N. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
60', Sanchez J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
64', Urruti L. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
64', Saba E. ↓, Rabanal E. ↑,
64', Vidales J. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
70', Perlaza V. ↓, Ruiz K. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Aparicio K. ⚽, Serrano B. (A),
77', Rabanal E. 🟨,
78', Ojeda C. ↓, Segura J. ↑,
78', Quintero J. ↓, Cantoro T. ↑,
87', Cantoro T. 🟨,
89', Rizzo G. ↓, Quina N. ↑,
90+3', Viera G. 🟨,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 3.
Cajamarca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Mannucci is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Cajamarca is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Cajamarca won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.
Peru
World
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Zubczuk P. (G) 
Ojeda C. 
Perlaza V. 
Rizzo G. 
Viera G. 
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