Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	GOL Peru
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Usa	FuboTV
Venezuela	Inter
World	Fanatiz


	Carlos A. Mannucci		FBC Melgar

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.6	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.57
	5.3	3.9	1.62	Watch
	5.17	3.75	1.62
	5.16	3.79	1.65	Watch
	5	4	1.53
	5.43	4.15	1.62	Watch
	5.25	3.85	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↓ (5.51)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Carlos A. Mannucci
18%

Draw
24%

FBC Melgar
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

25%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

24.7%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos A. Mannucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Carlos A. Mannucci - FBC Melgar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Heredia M. (C) 24. Rizzo G. 21. Vidales J. 13. Llontop M. 27. Rabanal E. 6. Viera G. 16. Benitez A. 19. Miguez P. 10. Albarracin N. 7. Succar A. 22. Urruti L.	12. Caceda C. (G) 19. Reyna P. 33. Lazo M. 2. Galeano L. 6. Gonzalez L. 15. Noble M. 17. Archimbaud J. P. (C) 18. Portugal B. 10. Martinez T. 8. Orzan H. 7. Bordacahar C.
Substitutes
1. Barbieri J. (G) 14. Cortave M. 11. Cortes J. 2. Cossio A. 5. Gaona M. 17. Liza P. 88. Quina N. 39. Urtecho E. 15. Velarde C.	28. Arias A. 21. Cabezudo J. (G) 26. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 16. Caceres J. 90. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 4. Ramos E. 23. Rodriguez Carreno D. A. 20. Sandoval K. 24. Tandazo W.
Coaches
Paredes S.	Pacheco M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Portugal B. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
60', Noble M. ↓, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↑,
65', Albarracin N. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
65', Urruti L. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
68', Llontop M. 🟨,
72', Martinez T. ↓, Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↑,
73', Rabanal E. 🟨,
74', Cortes J. 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, Liza P. ⚽, Vidales J. (A),
82', Vidales J. ↓, Quina N. ↑,
83', Liza P. 🟨,
83', 🟨,
86', Lazo M. ↓, Rodriguez Carreno D. A. ↑,
90+1', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 🟨,
90+3', Succar A. ↓, Gaona M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Archimbaud J. P. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 0.

Recent matches Mannucci is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melgar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mannucci could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Melgar is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Mannucci won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos A. Mannucci
Peruvian Liga 1
14.09.24	Alianza Lima - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Atlético Grau	1:1 ✺
21.08.24	Sport Boys - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:6 ✺
18.08.24	Los Chankas - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LTWTL
- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
15.09.24	FBC Melgar - Los Chankas	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	FBC Melgar - Comerciantes Unidos	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	3:1 ✺
21.08.24	FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
13.04.24	FBC Melgar - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:0
03.10.23	FBC Melgar - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:1
28.05.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - FBC Melgar	1:2
10.07.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - FBC Melgar	0:1
05.02.22	FBC Melgar - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:0
21.08.21	Carlos A. Mannucci - FBC Melgar	1:2
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
13.06.21	FBC Melgar - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:2

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