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Current Win Probability
ADT Tarma 48.9%
Draw 26.7%
Cajamarca 24.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.9%
25.9%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
25.8%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for ADT Tarma have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ADT Tarma - Cajamarca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Valencia J. (G) 98. Ramos A. 99. Pereyra J. 44. Benincasa H. 59. Nunez O. 23. Narvaez J. 16. Perez L. 77. Lucumi J. 7. Rojas J. (C) 18. Mazzo A. 24. Peralta S.
3. Medina J. (G) 44. Gomez C. 21. Vega J. 95. Vilchez Y. 31. Enciso S. 25. Goyoneche P. 18. Orejuela J. G. (C) 20. Meza C. 11. Arrasco M. 17. Palacios B. 9. Cejas P.
Substitutes
32. Bauman J. 26. Garcilazo J. 27. Hidalgo A. 31. Navarro J. 6. Ojeda A. 50. Riveros O. 3. Rugel L. 33. Solis C. (G) 28. Soto J.
12. Aspajo S. (G) 88. Aubert E. 13. Correa Flores C. A. 14. Gutierrez A. 77. Lugo J. 6. Rasmussen M. 8. Sandoval V. 5. Suarez R. 26. Timana H.
Coaches
Carrillo G.
Ayala Gavilan C. R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Goyoneche P. 🟨,
37', Vega J. 🟨,
45', Mazzo A. 🟨,
45+1', Gomez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pereyra J. 🟨,
48', Meza C. 🟥,
53', Gomez C. ↓, Suarez R. ↑,
54', Mazzo A. ↓, Garcilazo J. ↑,
62', Suarez R. 🟨,
63', Peralta S. ↓, Bauman J. ↑,
63', Pereyra J. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
82', Ramos A. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
82', Cejas P. ↓, Aubert E. ↑,
82', Narvaez J. ↓, Riveros O. ↑,
88', Riveros O. 🟨,
90+3', Arrasco M. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 17th and 13th).
Recent results have been tough for ADT (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Cajamarca have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
ADT may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, ADT is considered the favorite to take the win.
Doubtful / questionable for Cajamarca: Gallardo J.
(Injury).
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, ADT has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).