Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	ADT Tarma		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.70	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.70	4.00
	1.79	3.75	4.20	Watch
	1.70	3.80	4.44
	1.71	3.78	4.42	Watch
	1.65	3.60	4.35
	1.71	3.68	4.50
	1.67	3.70	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.9)	3.71 ↑ (3.58)	4.37 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ADT Tarma
54.2%

Draw
24.8%

Cajamarca
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADT Tarma's performance.

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

ADT Tarma - Cajamarca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th and 12th).

Recent results have been tough for ADT (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Cajamarca have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cajamarca could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to ADT for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, ADT has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).

Outrights of Peruvian Liga 1 for now

FC Cajamarca: 0.81%

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	FC Cajamarca	10	3	1	6	18:24	-6	10
17	AD Tarma	10	1	2	7	7:21	-14	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
01.10.26	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
23.09.26	ADT Tarma - Cienciano	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Alianza Lima - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL
- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
19.09.26	Cajamarca - Cusco	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Los Chankas - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Cajamarca - Cienciano	2:5 ✺
28.08.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
18.04.26	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	2:2
Club Friendly
18.01.26	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	2:1

ADT Tarma - Cajamarca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide