Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio 25 de Noviembre (Moquegua)

Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz
Vietnam	TV 360


	Moquegua		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.50	2.15	Watch
	3.00	3.20	2.10
	3.20	3.45	2.17	Watch
	3.23	3.38	2.17
	3.13	3.44	2.16	Watch
	3.15	3.30	2.07
	3.15	3.42	2.13
	3.00	3.30	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.78)	3.37 ↑ (3.36)	2.14 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moquegua
29.6%

Draw
27.3%

Cienciano
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.6%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

27.1%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Moquegua - Cienciano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th and 14th).

Moquegua is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Cienciano have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Moquegua could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cienciano holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Moquegua: Chavez N. (Red Card) Ruiz K. (Muscle Injury) Zapata Y. (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Cienciano: Arias Fierro S. D. (Yellow Cards).

Our forecast points to a victory for Cienciano in today's match, at odds of 2.09.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Moquegua has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Outrights of Peruvian Liga 1 for now

Cienciano: 1.02% Moquegua: 0.81%

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Cienciano	10	2	2	6	12:18	-6	8
16	Moquegua	10	1	4	5	7:17	-10	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1
20.09.26	Juan Pablo II College - Moquegua	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Moquegua - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Cusco - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Moquegua - Alianza Atlético	1:4 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
27.08.26	ADT Tarma - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
30.09.26	Cienciano - Los Chankas	0:0 ✺
23.09.26	ADT Tarma - Cienciano	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Cienciano	3:0 ✺
10.09.26	Cienciano - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
04.09.26	Cajamarca - Cienciano	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.04.26	Cienciano - Moquegua	2:1

Moquegua - Cienciano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide