Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio 25 de Noviembre (Moquegua) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Peru	13:00	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	14:00	Fanatiz
Vietnam	01:00	TV 360


	Moquegua		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.00	3.20	2.10
	3.1	3.45	2.15	Watch
	3.23	3.39	2.13
	3.18	3.49	2.14	Watch
	3.15	3.3	2.07
	3.15	3.42	2.13	Watch
	3	3.3	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.78)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)	2.13 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Moquegua
29.6%

Draw
27.2%

Cienciano
43.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.6%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Moquegua - Cienciano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 4. Perleche A. 13. Lojas J. (C) 30. Granda J. 3. Enciso C. 6. Jimenez J. 25. Chipao R. 8. Mejia C. 20. Ramirez D. 7. Lastre E. 11. Bryan Angulo	1. Falcon G. (G) 4. Amondarain M. 3. Becerra K. 13. Nunez C. 7. Souza Espana C. 29. Robles A. 39. Caparo H. 16. Martinich M. 11. Bandiera N. 17. Sandoval R. 21. Garces C. (C)
Substitutes
90. Collazos J. 34. Ferreyra K. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 24. Lecaros A. 88. Lopez Y. 22. Montenegro E. 9. Negron M. 14. Ramirez C. 35. Santillan Vargas E. M.	26. Aguilar R. 8. Aguirre G. 88. Barreto G. 14. Cavero S. 99. Colunga N. 18. La Torre D. 30. Roncal J. (G) 25. Salazar R. 19. Succar M.
Coaches
Serna J.	Melgarejo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Bandiera N. ⚽, Garces C. (A),
40', 0 - 2, Garces C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Granda J. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
46', Mejia C. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
57', Perleche A. 🟨,
60', Sandoval R. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
61', Nunez C. 🟨,
63', Bryan Angulo ↓, Collazos J. ↑,
66', Bandiera N. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
78', Ramirez D. ↓, Negron M. ↑,
85', Garces C. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
85', Souza Espana C. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
86', Lojas J. ↓, Santillan Vargas E. M. ↑,
87', Ramirez C. 🟨,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th and 14th).

Moquegua is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Cienciano have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Moquegua could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cienciano holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Moquegua: Chavez N. (Red Card) Ruiz K. (Muscle Injury) Zapata Y. (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Cienciano: Arias Fierro S. D. (Yellow Cards).

Our forecast points to a victory for Cienciano in today's match, at odds of 2.09.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Moquegua has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Cienciano	14	5	2	7	19:21	-2	17
17	Moquegua	14	2	4	8	8:22	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1
20.09.26	Juan Pablo II College - Moquegua	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Moquegua - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Cusco - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Moquegua - Alianza Atlético	1:4 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
27.08.26	ADT Tarma - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
30.09.26	Cienciano - Los Chankas	0:0 ✺
23.09.26	ADT Tarma - Cienciano	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Cienciano	3:0 ✺
10.09.26	Cienciano - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
04.09.26	Cajamarca - Cienciano	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.04.26	Cienciano - Moquegua	2:1

Upcoming Matches