The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Los Chankas 49.6%
Draw 25.8%
Cajamarca 24.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.4%
25.5%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
25.1%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Los Chankas - Cajamarca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Camacho H. (G) 30. Kaufman M. 33. Pimienta C. 26. Gonzales D. 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 17. Velarde C. 15. Sanchez K. 14. Guevara B. 10. Torres F. 20. Torres M. 11. Quintero J.
3. Medina J. (G) 44. Gomez C. 2. Posito Olazabal A. J. 95. Vilchez Y. 31. Enciso S. 18. Orejuela J. G. (C) 20. Meza C. 13. Correa Flores C. A. 11. Arrasco M. 17. Palacios B. 9. Cejas P.
Substitutes
6. Ayarza A. 27. Barrios K. 77. Espinoza Vega F. E. 7. Ospina J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 31. Quintana A. 24. Rizzo G. 13. Vasquez A. 22. Zarabia S.
12. Aspajo S. (G) 88. Aubert E. 25. Goyoneche P. 14. Gutierrez A. 77. Lugo J. 7. Pineau S. 6. Rasmussen M. 5. Suarez R. 21. Vega J.
Coaches
Paolella W.
Ayala Gavilan C. R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Cejas P. ⚽, Arrasco M. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Enciso S. ⚽, Palacios B. (A),
43', Velarde C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Torres M. ↓, Espinoza Vega F. E. ↑,
58', Enciso S. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Takeuchi O. ⚽, Pimienta C. (A),
63', Correa Flores C. A. 🟨,
67', Arrasco M. ↓, Vega J. ↑,
67', Velarde C. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
67', Guevara B. ↓, Quintana A. ↑,
67', Kaufman M. ↓, Rizzo G. ↑,
69', Cejas P. 🟨,
70', Pimienta C. 🟨,
72', Cejas P. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
72', Correa Flores C. A. ↓, Goyoneche P. ↑,
76', Takeuchi O. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
85', Palacios B. ↓, Suarez R. ↑,
85', Posito Olazabal A. J. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
90+6', Meza C. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 15).
Los Chankas has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cajamarca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Los Chankas is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.