Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Heroes de San Ramon (Cajamarca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rivera J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Peru	13:00	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	14:00	Fanatiz
Vietnam	01:00	TV 360


	Cajamarca		Cusco

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.63	Watch
	2.75	3.40	2.15
	2.38	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.8
	2.73	3.75	2.29	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.75
	2.4	3.57	2.68	Watch
	2.33	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.1)	3.52 ↓ (3.83)	2.59 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
37.7%

Draw
26.4%

Cusco
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

24.3%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

23.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cusco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cajamarca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cusco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cajamarca - Cusco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Medina J. (G) 44. Gomez C. 21. Vega J. 95. Vilchez Y. 31. Enciso S. 18. Orejuela J. G. (C) 13. Correa Flores C. A. 20. Meza C. 11. Arrasco M. 17. Palacios B. 9. Cejas P.	28. Diaz P. (G) 21. Zevallos J. 8. Fuentes A. 2. Gamarra C. 3. Lagos R. 14. Diez C. 55. Montano C. 26. Silva N. 10. Colman I. (C) 7. Manzaneda J. 9. Callejo F.
Substitutes
32. Alegria P. 12. Aspajo S. (G) 88. Aubert E. 25. Goyoneche P. 14. Gutierrez A. 77. Lugo J. 7. Pineau S. 8. Sandoval V. 5. Suarez R.	17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 6. Ampuero A. 77. Herrera Joel 99. Miguel Silveira 24. Ruidias M. 88. Soto D. 11. Tevez J. 16. Valenzuela O. 13. Vidal A. (G)
Coaches
Ayala Gavilan C. R.	Rabanal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Colman I. ⚽, Silva N. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Arrasco M. ⚽, Meza C. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Callejo F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Correa Flores C. A. ↓, Goyoneche P. ↑,
55', Palacios B. 🟨,
69', Colman I. ↓, Ruidias M. ↑,
69', Manzaneda J. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
73', Gomez C. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
81', Diez C. ↓, Valenzuela O. ↑,
81', Silva N. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
86', Orejuela J. G. ↓, Pineau S. ↑,
90+1', Medina J. 🟨,
90+1', Soto D. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 9th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Cusco could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Cusco is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Cusco: Aucca M. (Knee Injury) Quillahuaman S. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Cajamarca: Gallardo J. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Cusco: Choi G. (Injury) Custodio A. (Injury).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Cajamarca has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cusco	12	6	0	6	21:18	3	18
14	FC Cajamarca	12	3	2	7	18:25	-7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
12.09.26	Los Chankas - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Cajamarca - Cienciano	2:5 ✺
28.08.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	1:3 ✺
16.08.26	Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWLL
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
11.09.26	Cusco - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Cusco - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Cienciano - Cusco	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	4:1 ✺
14.08.26	Cusco - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
22.04.26	Cusco - Cajamarca	1:0

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