Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Unión Tarma (Tarma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	America TV GO, America TV


	ADT Tarma		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.20	2.05
	3.15	3.3	2.1
	3.11	3.4	2.14
	3.24	3.34	2.17	Watch
	3	3	2.04
	3.16	3.24	2.07	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	3.25 ↑ (3.05)	2.09 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADT Tarma
29.1%

Draw
27.8%

Sporting Cristal
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

30.1%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

29.1%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Solis C. (G) 44. Benincasa H. 26. Garcilazo J. 23. Narvaez J. 59. Nunez O. 24. Peralta S. 99. Pereyra J. 16. Perez L. 98. Ramos A. 2. Reyes J. 7. Rojas J. (C)	1. Enriquez D. (G) 96. Abram L. 11. Avila I. (C) 21. Cabellos C. 23. Castro M. 77. Cuesta J. 32. Diaz L. 27. Gabriel 18. Gonzalez J. 5. Lutiger R. 25. Tavara M.
Substitutes
29. Garcia E. 77. Lucumi J. 18. Mazzo A. 35. Mori E. (G) 31. Navarro J. 6. Ojeda A. 50. Riveros O. 22. Rodriguez A. 3. Rugel L.	29. Barcos H. 33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 90. Cristiano 41. Cuenca J. 7. Gonzalez S. 16. Iberico L. 8. Sosa L. 4. Villacorta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Gabriel ⚽,
45+1', Benincasa H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Avila I. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
53', Diaz L. 🟨,
64', Cuesta J. ↓, Cristiano ↑,
64', Rojas J. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
64', Narvaez J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
72', Lutiger R. ↓, Villacorta A. ↑,
72', Castro M. ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
74', Peralta S. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
74', Ramos A. ↓, Mazzo A. ↑,
78', Reyes J. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
85', Gonzalez J. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2.

In recent outings, ADT has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sporting Cristal shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

ADT may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Sporting Cristal is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, ADT has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:19 (averaging 1.6:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for ADT against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:5 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Cristal - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.7%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
23.09.26	ADT Tarma - Cienciano	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Alianza Lima - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo	1:3 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
27.08.26	ADT Tarma - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
19.09.26	Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Moquegua - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Sporting Cristal - Los Chankas	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Sport Boys - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
26.08.26	Sporting Cristal - Sport Huancayo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
24.05.26	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	2:1
04.10.25	ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal	3:2
17.05.25	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	2:1
12.07.24	ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal	3:1
27.01.24	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	6:2
06.08.23	ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal	1:1
04.03.23	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	0:0

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