Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Campo da Mata (Caldas da Rainha)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Austria	Laola1
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Croatia	SportKlub 8
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Italy	Como TV
Portugal	Sport TV2
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Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Inter, Meridiano


	Caldas		Braga

	1	X	2
	12	8	1.14
	22	7.4	1.11
	10.26	6.27	1.24	Watch
	17	6.5	1.14
	17	7.1	1.14	Watch
	18	7	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.04 ↑ (14.25)	7.05 ↑ (6.5)	1.15 ↓ (1.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldas
5.8%

Draw
13.2%

Braga
80.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.5%

14.3%

79.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Caldas - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Braga will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 73.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Almeida D. (G) 2. Yordy Marcelo 14. Maneta D. 3. Pires Gomes J. R. 10. Januario 4. Pipo 8. Clemente D. (C) 17. Goncas 30. Monteiro E. 25. Farinha L. 33. Tarzan	12. Sa T. (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 15. Oliveira P. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 20. Dorgeles M. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 27. Grillitsch F. 5. Lelo L. 10. Zalazar R. 39. Navarro F. 21. Horta R. (C)
Substitutes
7. Alexandre R. 66. Carreira R. 23. Catarino T. 9. Chaves G. 87. Ewandro Santos 21. Fernandes D. 79. Gata J. 6. Palmerio M. 1. Soares W. (G)	78. Carvalho J. (G) 41. da Rocha Y. 2. Gomez V. 29. Gorby 77. Martinez G. 8. Moutinho J. 50. Rodrigues D. 6. Vitor Carvalho
Coaches
Vala J.	Vicens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Lagerbielke G. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
45+1', Januario ↓, Alexandre R. ↑,
45+4', Clemente D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 1, Navarro F. ⚽, Oliveira P. (A),
53', 0 - 2, Oliveira P. ⚽,
60', 0 - 3, Dorgeles M. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
65', Yordy Marcelo ↓, Palmerio M. ↑,
65', Clemente D. ↓, Carreira R. ↑,
65', Farinha L. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
66', Zalazar R. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
67', Horta R. ↓, Gorby ↑,
75', Tarzan ↓, Magalhaes M. ↑,
83', Navarro F. ↓, da Rocha Y. ↑,
83', Grillitsch F. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Manuel Marques.

Caldas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Braga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Braga has had a series of away games.

In this match, Braga is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Caldas: Pepo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Braga: El Ouazzani A. (Inactive) Niakate S. (International duty) Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vidigal S. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
19.12.25	Caldas - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	1 Dezembro - Caldas	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Caldas - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Caldas - Amora	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.25	Tondela - Caldas	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLLLW
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
19.12.25	Estoril Praia - Braga	1:0 ✺
15.12.25	Braga - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Nice - Braga	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.12.25	Famalicão - Braga	1:2 ✺
01.12.25	Arouca - Braga	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWW

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