Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 12

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Camacha		Guarda Desportiva

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.38	4	6.1
	1.45	3.95	5.8
	1.39	4.45	7.43
	1.44	3.7	7
	1.39	4.25	6.9
	1.47	4.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)	4.06 ↑ (4)	6.43 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camacha
63.6%

Draw
22.3%

Guarda Desportiva
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

14.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camacha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Guarda Desportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camacha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda Desportiva than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarda Desportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Camacha - Guarda Desportiva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Camacha will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Guarda Desportiva will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Camacha is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guarda Desportiva has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Camacha is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Lusitânia - Camacha	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Camacha - Gondomar	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Salgueiros 08 - Camacha	0:2 ✺
20.11.22	Camacha - Rebordosa	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Alpendorada - Camacha	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLL
- Guarda Desportiva
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Guarda Desportiva - Machico	2:3 ✺
04.12.22	Leça - Guarda Desportiva	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Castro Daire	0:3 ✺
20.11.22	Beira-Mar - Guarda Desportiva	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Marítimo B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Camacha - Guarda Desportiva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide