Match Info

Cymru South - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Trefelin		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.35	6.9
	1.32	5.31	7.11
	1.4	4.37	7.78	Watch
	1.3	4.6	7
	1.4	4.76	6.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)	4.68 ↑ (4.48)	7.13 ↑ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
67.6%

Draw
19.6%

Aberystwyth Town
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

20.2%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

19.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

Trefelin - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Brock T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', Thompson L. 🟥,
66', 2 - 0, Bowen L. ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, Georgievsky K. ⚽,
89', 4 - 0, Bowen L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 5).

Trefelin is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Aberystwyth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Trefelin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Trefelin is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Trefelin will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trefelin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
04.03.26	Trefelin - Cardiff Draconians	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Llantwit Major - Trefelin	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Trefelin - Ynyshir Albions	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Trefelin - Baglan Dragons	3:0 ✺
13.02.26	Carmarthen Town - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
01.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Caerau Ely	0:4 ✺
24.02.26	Ammanford - Aberystwyth Town	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Aberystwyth Town - Treowen Stars	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Baglan Dragons - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Newport City - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
08.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Trefelin	0:2

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