Match Info

Cymru South - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)


	Aberystwyth Town		Treowen Stars

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.05	4.95
	1.52	4.34	4.98
	1.56	4.31	5.1	Watch
	1.5	4	4.8
	1.6	4.68	4.37
	1.52	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)	4.23 ↓ (4.5)	4.87 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
59.6%

Draw
21.6%

Treowen Stars
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.2%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Treowen Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Aberystwyth Town - Treowen Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
79', 1 - 0, Evans J. ⚽,
88', 🟥,
88', 2 - 0, Evans J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 2 - 1, McDonnell C. ⚽,
90+3', Smith C. 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 9).

Aberystwyth has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Treowen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aberystwyth is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Aberystwyth will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aberystwyth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19
8	Treowen	9	4	1	4	18:18	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
07.02.26	Baglan Dragons - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Newport City - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff Draconians	3:2 ✺
01.01.26	Aberystwyth Town - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Pontypridd United - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWTW
- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
02.01.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Treowen Stars	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Treowen Stars - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Treowen Stars - Newport City	2:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
22.11.25	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	1:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
15.11.25	Treowen Stars - Ynyshir Albions	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
11.10.25	Treowen Stars - Aberystwyth Town	2:3

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