Match Info

Cymru South - Round 16

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Ammanford		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.2
	1.71	3.81	3.93
	2.08	3.44	3.34	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3
	2.18	3.22	3.33
	2	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.85)	3.37 ↓ (3.84)	3.34 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
45.6%

Draw
27.1%

Aberystwyth Town
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

24.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

23%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ammanford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

Ammanford - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ammanford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, John D. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Evans J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 1, Delaney M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 7).

Ammanford is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aberystwyth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ammanford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aberystwyth has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ammanford is the team to beat.

We predict that Ammanford will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ammanford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
13.02.26	Ammanford - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Caerau Ely - Ammanford	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	Ammanford - Trefelin	0:4 ✺
09.01.26	Pontypridd United - Ammanford	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Ammanford - Ynyshir Albions	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWW
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
14.02.26	Aberystwyth Town - Treowen Stars	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Baglan Dragons - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Newport City - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff Draconians	3:2 ✺
01.01.26	Aberystwyth Town - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
25.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Ammanford	0:0

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