The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff Metropolitan 37.4%
Draw 27.1%
Barry Town United 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
24.9%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
25.8%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff Metropolitan's form might have worsened.
Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barry Town United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff Metropolitan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barry Town United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
7.1%
78.6%
Cardiff Metropolitan - Barry Town United Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cardiff Metropolitan will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Barry Town will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barry Town: 57.1% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barry Town United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff Metropolitan (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Barry Town (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Absalom K. (G) 2. Chubb M. 16. Craven C. 20. John H. 10. Jones S. 8. Kabongo D. 19. Mwandwe L. 17. Payne J. 6. Reynolds R. 21. Soady B. 4. Walsh L.
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 17. Cuddihy O. 6. Davies K. 2. George M. 22. Hulbert O. 10. Kavanagh R. 9. Owen Ieuan Gwyn 8. Richards E. 3. Sainty C. 5. Williams E. 7. Willmott R.
Substitutes
3. Edwards J. 7. Evans E. 12. Lonergan R. 15. Morgan G. 9. Rees L. 13. Seager S. (G) 22. Williams J.
23. Barton D. 19. Bernard J. 16. Beynon J. 24. Richards W. 14. Smith D. 57. Talbot L. 1. Thomas J. (G) . Williams
Coaches
Jenkins R.
Jenkins S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Payne J. ↓, Rees L. ↑,
63', Richards E. ↓, Barton D. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Jones S. ⚽,
74', John H. ↓, Lonergan R. ↑,
78', 🟨,
86', Jones S. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
86', George M. 🟨,
87', Kavanagh R. ↓, Richards W. ↑,
88', Cuddihy O. ↓, Bernard J. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Willmott R. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 1.
Cardiff Metropolitan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Barry Town is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cardiff Metropolitan could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 2:0.8).