Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 11

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: M&P Group 3G (Tonypandy)

Referee: McInch A. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Cambrian United		Llandudno

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.40	2.20
	2.43	3.40	2.43
	2.80	3.69	2.30
	2.56	3.74	2.46	Watch
	2.75	3.65	2.25
	2.89	3.82	2.17	Watch
	2.75	3.50	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.31)	3.6 ↑ (3.45)	2.29 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambrian United
34.2%

Draw
25.6%

Llandudno
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.1%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambrian United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Llandudno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llandudno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llandudno than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llandudno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cambrian United - Llandudno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Absalom K. (G) 9. Bonthron A. 40. Bright H. 10. Eason L. 4. Evans A. 6. John A. 14. Morris J. 12. Strinati C. 7. Thomas F. 8. Woodford J. 31. Wright J.	1. Torrance J. (G) 8. Cadwallader M. 21. Edwards K. 28. Hughes L. 26. Lloyd J. 7. Lloyd K. 16. Maher B. 18. Smith K. 2. Stephens C. 6. Weaver R. 22. Williams M.
Substitutes
36. Allen J. 21. Gill B. 19. Hughes C. 23. Joseph J. 20. Karadogan J. 18. Lewis K. 13. Morgan M. (G)	17. Faux J. 51. Fisher J. (G) 15. Grogan N. 32. Monks T. 20. Pownall J. 34. Pritchard O. 27. Ruberto C.
Coaches
Williams L.	Hadaway J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Eason L. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Bonthron A. ⚽,
22', 🟨,
30', Bright H. 🟨,
38', 3 - 0, Bonthron A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 4 - 0, Bonthron A. ⚽,
50', 4 - 1, Lloyd K. ⚽,
51', Smith K. ↓, Faux J. ↑,
54', Woodford J. 🟨,
64', Maher B. ↓, Ruberto C. ↑,
67', Thomas F. ↓, Lewis K. ↑,
70', Lloyd J. 🟨,
74', 4 - 2, Stephens C. ⚽,
81', 4 - 3, Williams M. ⚽,
84', Bonthron A. ↓, Allen J. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th in the Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: ) and 7th in the Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: )).

Cambrian United has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Llandudno is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Llandudno may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Cambrian United has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2.

Specifically in home fixtures for Cambrian United against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Cambrian United: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cambrian United	12	5	3	4	21:32	-11	18
10	Llandudno	12	5	1	6	21:19	2	16

Last Results with these Odds

Cambrian United - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.09%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambrian United
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.09.26	Caernarfon Town - Cambrian United	9:1 ✺
15.09.26	Trefelin - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
11.09.26	Cambrian United - Holywell Town	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Cambrian United	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Cambrian United - Pen-y-Bont	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWTT
- Llandudno FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
19.09.26	The New Saints - Llandudno	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Llandudno - Caernarfon Town	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Barry Town United - Llandudno	4:1 ✺
04.09.26	Llandudno - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Colwyn Bay - Llandudno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
16.11.24	Cambrian United - Llandudno	3:2

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