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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 32.8%
Draw 28.2%
Lincoln City 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
28.3%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
28.9%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
11.1%
66.7%
Peterborough United - Lincoln City Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Lincoln will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 35.9% โ 97.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Lincoln (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lincoln City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bass A. (G) 12. Lees T. 15. Nevett G. 29. O'Connor T. 30. Kioso P. (C) 8. Khela B. 4. Collins A. 28. Garbett M. 40. Mendy J. 24. Morgan J. 27. Leonard H.
1. Wickens G. (C) 2. Darikwa T. 5. Jackson A. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 17. Street R. 14. McGrandles C. 8. Bayliss T. 18. House B. 34. Draper F. 9. Collins J.
Substitutes
2. Johnston C. 19. Lindgren G. 7. Lolos K. 10. Odoh A. 26. Okagbue D. 21. Reyes V. (G) 16. Woods B.
7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 22. Hamer T. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 20. Obikwu J. 19. Okoronkwo F. 6. Towler R. 24. Varfolomeev I.
Coaches
Ferguson D.
Skubala M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Reach A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Jackson A. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
54', Draper F. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Darikwa T. ⚽, Reach A. (A),
65', Khela B. ↓, Woods B. ↑,
65', Lees T. ↓, Odoh A. ↑,
71', Street R. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
71', Morgan J. ↓, Lindgren G. ↑,
72', Collins A. ↓, Okagbue D. ↑,
74', Darikwa T. 🟨,
76', McGrandles C. 🟨,
79', Collins J. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
79', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
84', Mendy J. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Obikwu J. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.
Peterborough has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lincoln is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lincoln has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Frith D.
(Inactive)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Wallin O.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Lincoln: Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Peterborough: Odoh A.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Lincoln: Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
Lembikisa D.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).