The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 18%
Draw 22.2%
Luton Town 59.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.6%
24.7%
48.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
22.4%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambridge United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
0%
76.9%
Cambridge United - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Luton will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 54% โ 99.8%.
25. Hughes B. (G) 2. Bennett L. 23. Jobe M. 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 3. Purrington B. 38. Hoddle G. 8. Smith K. (C) 14. Knight B. 27. McConnell G. 7. Brophy J. 10. Kachunga E.
1. Shea J. (G) 17. Lonwijk N. 5. Andersen M. 15. Mengi T. 33. Bramall C. 3. Naismith K. (C) 14. Morris S. 18. Clark J. 37. Nelson Z. 7. Alli M. 20. Nordas L.
Substitutes
1. Eastwood J. (G) 26. Gibbons J. 20. Kouassi K. 15. Mayor A. 39. McDougald L. 17. Mpanzu P. 6. Watts K.
22. Dabo L. 44. Fox H. 31. Gbode J. 24. Keeley J. (G) 30. Kodua G. 27. Richards J. 9. Yates J.
Coaches
Harris N.
Bloomfield M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Andersen M. ⚽, Lonwijk N. (A),
33', 1 - 1, McConnell G. ⚽, Smith K. (A),
44', Morris S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Knight B. ↓, Mayor A. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Kachunga E. ⚽, Purrington B. (A),
60', Nelson Z. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
60', Andersen M. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
60', Bramall C. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
64', Brophy J. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
65', Smith K. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
73', Morris S. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Kachunga E. ⚽, Kouassi K. (A),
86', Clark J. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
86', McConnell G. ↓, McDougald L. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 0.
Cambridge has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Luton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Cambridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Luton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:34. (average 0.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.9:1.9).
United-kingdom
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Hughes B. (G) 
Bennett L. 
McConnell G. 
Kachunga E. 
Lonwijk N. 
Andersen M. 
Naismith K. (C) 
Nordas L. 
Dabo L. 
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