Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: Vos M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Cambuur		Jong PSV

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.75	4.33	Watch
	1.58	4.45	4.7
	1.62	4.68	4.68
	1.14	7.39	17.44	Watch
	1.61	4.5	4.61	Watch
	1.43	5	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.41)	5.13 ↑ (5)	6.89 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
66.4%

Draw
19.3%

Jong PSV
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

18.4%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

17.6%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Cambuur - Jong PSV Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 3. Berkhout J. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 7. Balk R. 20. Visser D. 10. Diemers M. (C) 26. Ferrah I. 14. van der Sande J. 11. Sjostrand O.	1. Smolenaars T. (G) 2. Raap Y. 3. Bresser M. 4. van der Plas S. 5. van de Riet R. 6. Sidibe S. 10. Koller J. 8. Bawuah J. (C) 7. Abed T. 9. Bouhoudane S. 11. Thomas A.
Substitutes
13. Binder N. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 31. Kalisvaart M. 27. Kooistra W. 25. Marsman B. 21. Meijster J. (G) 18. Rolke T. 8. Souren N. 30. van der Veen Y. 9. Visser K.	18. Bahaty M. 15. Bassey E. 17. Kluit F. 14. Merien F. 16. Ngom K. (G) 19. van Duiven R. 20. Verkooijen N.
Coaches
de Jong H.	Schaars S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, van der Sande J. ⚽, Diemers M. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Bouhoudane S. ⚽, van de Riet R. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Sjostrand O. ⚽,
39', 3 - 1, van der Sande J. ⚽, Diemers M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Sjostrand O. 🟨,
48', 3 - 2, Abed T. (Pen),
55', 4 - 2, Berkhout J. ⚽, Amofa J. (A),
58', Bawuah J. 🟨,
64', Bouhoudane S. ↓, van Duiven R. ↑,
65', Sidibe S. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
65', Bresser M. ↓, Merien F. ↑,
65', Raap Y. ↓, Bassey E. ↑,
70', 4 - 3, Abed T. ⚽, Thomas A. (A),
70', van der Sande J. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
70', Ferrah I. ↓, Souren N. ↑,
75', Abed T. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
81', Sjostrand O. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
84', 5 - 3, Souren N. ⚽, Galvez T. (A),
88', Diemers M. ↓, Rolke T. ↑,
88', Amofa J. ↓, Jonker T. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 3.

Cambuur has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jong PSV is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cambuur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cambuur is the team to beat.

There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Cambuur will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 2.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.09.25	Jong Utrecht - Cambuur	2:4 ✺
12.09.25	MVV Maastricht - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Cambuur - Willem II	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Cambuur - VVV-Venlo	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWW
- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.09.25	Jong PSV - Den Bosch	3:0 ✺
15.09.25	Jong PSV - Roda	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Almere City - Jong PSV	2:4 ✺
29.08.25	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Dordrecht - Jong PSV	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.02.25	Jong PSV - Cambuur	1:4
08.11.24	Cambuur - Jong PSV	1:0
04.03.24	Jong PSV - Cambuur	3:1
29.09.23	Cambuur - Jong PSV	3:4
22.01.21	Cambuur - Jong PSV	5:1
30.11.20	Jong PSV - Cambuur	0:1
28.02.20	Cambuur - Jong PSV	4:2

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