#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Cancún 41.9%
Draw 28.7%
Jaiba Brava 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
29.9%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
28.8%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cancún's performance.
Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaiba Brava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cancún that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaiba Brava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cancún - Jaiba Brava Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Andrade C. (G) 14. Campos K. 5. Chavez A. 7. El-mesmari B. 3. Hernandez J. 8. Melendre F. 4. Reyes R. 12. Rodriguez J. 11. Trejo C. 10. Uscanga P. (C) 30. Zabala L.
13. Ruiz G. (G) 14. Corona N. 16. Dominguez R. 23. Escoboza A. 28. Flores S. (C) 3. Garcia D. 2. Gonzalez C. 24. Lopez Gonzalez J. A. 18. Portales J. 5. Razo L. 8. Torres E.
Substitutes
26. Arce E. (G) 21. Barraza L. 15. Guillen D. 147. Lomeli D. 32. Lopez L. 18. Montiel S. 6. Ochoa I. 17. Padilla E. 19. Preciado G. 9. Villatoro M.
22. Clemente J. 6. Garcia E. 1. Garcia J. (G) 7. Magana D. 9. Martinez J. 21. Peralta J. 4. Rios A. 31. Rodriguez M. 20. Saldivar J. 10. Soto O.
Coaches
Bravo M.
Ruiz M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Reyes R. 🟨,
40', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Trejo C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez C. ↓, Clemente J. ↑,
46', Corona N. ↓, Magana D. ↑,
66', Dominguez R. ↓, Saldivar J. ↑,
68', Melendre F. ↓, Guillen D. ↑,
68', Rodriguez J. ↓, Preciado G. ↑,
74', Trejo C. 🟨,
77', Clemente J. 🟨,
77', Flores S. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
77', Lopez Gonzalez J. A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
80', Uscanga P. ↓, Ochoa I. ↑,
80', Chavez A. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
85', Zabala L. 🟨,
90+1', Campos K. ↓, Barraza L. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Andrade C. (Own goal),
Preview
First leg result: 1-2. Second leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.
Cancún is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Jaiba Brava is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Jaiba Brava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Jaiba Brava will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Cancun
11
5
2
4
19:15
4
17
13
Jaiba Brava
11
3
2
6
12:19
-7
11
Last Results with these Odds
Jaiba Brava - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.71%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.