Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 7

Date: 7 August 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Cantolao		Sport Huancayo

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4	3.4	1.75
	4.25	3.4	1.84
	4.27	3.45	1.81
	3.6	3.3	1.83
	4.33	3.65	1.81	Watch
	4.3	3.55	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (3.52)	3.48 ↑ (3.35)	1.8 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cantolao
21.9%

Draw
26.6%

Sport Huancayo
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

27.7%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

27.5%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Huancayo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Huancayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Cantolao - Sport Huancayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cantolao will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Huancayo will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huancayo: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Limousin C. (G) 29. Lojas S. 3. Sanchez A. 2. Montoya J. 18. Acosta M. 19. Tamariz A. 5. Guarderas R. 27. Velasco S. 20. Ramirez D. 8. Ramirez L. 7. Vergara H.	12. Zamudio A. (G) 15. Huaman M. 5. Colombo R. 4. Valoyes J. 2. Angeles H. 22. Salcedo R. 11. Ross C. 10. Lliuya M. 21. Benites Vargas L. E. 20. Gomez R. 19. Huaccha R.
Substitutes
6. Alzamora R. 15. Calabrese B. 1. Cruz J. (G) 9. Espinoza Torres R. 30. Huerto J. 4. Moreira F. 14. Regalado I. 28. Salas S. 22. Sanchez C.	3. Balta V. 9. Escobar C. 29. Jimenez C. 24. Perez A. 16. Perez J. 31. Pinto J. (G) 6. Rojas A. 8. Rojas Castilla A. S. 17. Villar L.
Coaches
Taffarel A.	Valencia W.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cantolao won 0.

Recent matches Cantolao is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Huancayo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Huancayo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Huancayo is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Cantolao won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Cantolao won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 1
28.07.23	Cusco - Cantolao	3:0 ✺
23.07.23	Cantolao - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
15.07.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Cantolao	2:1 ✺
07.07.23	Cantolao - Universitario de Deportes	1:4 ✺
04.07.23	Sport Boys - Cantolao	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLLW
- Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1
31.07.23	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Atlético	2:0 ✺
21.07.23	Cienciano - Sport Huancayo	1:0 ✺
10.07.23	Sport Huancayo - Cusco	3:1 ✺
30.06.23	Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Sport Huancayo - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
04.03.23	Sport Huancayo - Cantolao	4:0
27.08.22	Sport Huancayo - Cantolao	1:1
09.04.22	Cantolao - Sport Huancayo	0:2
11.09.21	Cantolao - Sport Huancayo	0:0
22.09.20	Cantolao - Sport Huancayo	1:3
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
16.10.19	Cantolao - Sport Huancayo	0:0
25.09.19	Sport Huancayo - Cantolao	2:0

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