Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Sporting Cristal		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	7	4.2	1.5	Watch
	6	4.2	1.5
	6.4	4.25	1.52
	6.57	4.45	1.51
	5.8	4	1.4
	6.45	4.4	1.48	Watch
	6	4.2	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.32 ↑ (3.64)	4.24 ↑ (3.51)	1.48 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
14.8%

Draw
22.1%

River Plate Montevideo
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

26.8%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

26.9%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). River Plate will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Solis R. (G) 15. Lora J. 4. Chavez G. 14. Ignacio 5. Lutiger R. 16. Castillo J. 6. Pretell Panta J. E. 19. Yotun Y. 30. Alarcon J. 9. Marlos Brenner 10. Hohberg A.	1. Armani F. (G) 20. Casco M. 2. Rojas R. 17. Diaz P. 13. Diaz E. H. 29. Aliendro R. 24. Perez E. 10. Nacho Fernandez 11. de la Cruz N. 21. Barco E. 18. Beltran L.
Substitutes
31. Alcedo F. 36. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 21. Ascues A. 11. Avila I. 7. Corozo W. 32. Diaz L. 13. Duarte A. (G) 20. Grimaldo J. 22. Herrera Joel 38. Sanchez J. 8. Sosa L. 25. Tavara G.	33. Centurion E. (G) 30. Gomez E. 15. Herrera Mansilla Barrios M. A. 22. Kranevitter M. 4. Maidana J. 9. Miguel Borja 8. Palavecino A. 26. Paradela J. 25. Rondon S. 31. Simon S. 36. Solari P. 7. Suarez M.
Coaches
Nunes T.	Demichelis M.

Preview

Sporting Cristal in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches River Plate is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sporting Cristal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
20.05.23	Sporting Cristal - Cusco	3:2 ✺
17.05.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
13.05.23	Unión Comercio - Sporting Cristal	1:6 ✺
07.05.23	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Sporting Cristal - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTW
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.05.23	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Montevideo City Torque - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Fluminense - River Plate Montevideo	5:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.04.23	River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:4 ✺
22.04.23	La Luz - River Plate Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
19.04.23	River Plate Montevideo - Sporting Cristal	4:2

Upcoming Matches