Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	The Strongest		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	8	Watch
	1.44	4.4	6.5
	1.42	4.8	7
	1.44	4.79	7.43
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.43	4.7	6.85	Watch
	1.41	4.5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.38)	4.59 ↑ (4.44)	6.98 ↓ (7.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

The Strongest
66.2%

Draw
20.4%

Sporting Cristal
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

20.9%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

18.9%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with The Strongest that the model has picked up on.

The ML Model estimate for Sporting Cristal aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.4%	3%	57.6%

The Strongest - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. The Strongest will win (votes: 13 - 39.4%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting Cristal: 40.7% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Viscarra G. (G) 7. Torres S. 22. Castillo G. 5. Jusino A. (C) 19. Roca C. 8. Ursino L. 6. Quiroga A. 10. Ortega M. 26. Sotomayor G. 11. Triverio E. 30. Arrascaita J.	12. Solis R. (G) 8. Sosa L. 4. Chavez G. 14. Ignacio 32. Diaz L. 15. Lora J. 25. Tavara G. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 20. Grimaldo J. 9. Marlos Brenner 10. Hohberg A.
Substitutes
9. Arias J. 1. Banegas L. (G) 2. Carrasco J. 23. Chura J. 32. Flores J. 20. Garcia Sossa J. E. 21. Isnaldo E. 4. Lino D. 3. Pedraza P. 18. Quaglio F. 15. Sebastian C. 25. Somoya M.	30. Alarcon J. 31. Alcedo F. 36. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 21. Ascues A. 11. Avila I. 16. Castillo J. 7. Corozo W. 13. Duarte A. (G) 22. Herrera Joel 3. Otoya D. 6. Pretell Panta J. E. 38. Sanchez J.
Coaches
Biaggio C.	Nunes T.

Preview

Recent matches The Strongest is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sporting Cristal is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sporting Cristal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match The Strongest is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches The Strongest won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams The Strongest won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.06.23	The Strongest - Jorge Wilstermann	1:0 ✺
29.05.23	Always Ready - The Strongest	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.05.23	The Strongest - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.05.23	The Strongest - Vaca Díez	4:1 ✺
14.05.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
01.06.23	Sporting Cristal - Cienciano	4:2 ✺
28.05.23	Sport Huancayo - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.05.23	Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
20.05.23	Sporting Cristal - Cusco	3:2 ✺
17.05.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Sporting Cristal - The Strongest	1:0
04.05.17	The Strongest - Sporting Cristal	5:1
18.04.17	Sporting Cristal - The Strongest	0:0

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