Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sporting Cristal		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5.25	Watch
	1.62	4.05	4.8	Watch
	1.63	4.15	4.97
	1.49	4.14	5.77	Watch
	1.6	3.96	5.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.49)	4.06 ↓ (4.14)	5.2 ↓ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
58.9%

Draw
23.1%

Cienciano
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

22.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

23.7%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-3%)

Sporting Cristal - Cienciano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Solis R. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 28. Pasquini N. 6. Pretell J. 25. Tavara M. 26. Wisdom I. 7. Gonzalez S. 11. Avila I. 23. Castro M.	24. Bolado J. (G) 6. Galeano L. 4. Amondarain M. 70. Valoyes J. 22. Neira C. 14. Torrejon C. (C) 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 8. Gonzalez A. 13. Hohberg A. 21. Garces C. 77. Souza Espana C.
Substitutes
96. Abram L. 14. Benavente C. 77. Cabellos C. 39. Caparo H. 1. Enriquez D. (G) 47. Felipe Vizeu 15. Lora J. 40. Moretti J. 97. Rodriguez M.	39. Aguirre G. 15. Amasifuen N. 29. Barrios I. (G) 20. Benites Vargas L. E. 17. Noronha O. 27. Ortiz J. 26. Palomino R. 55. Ramua A. 99. Sandoval R.
Coaches
Autuori P.	Desio C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Hohberg A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Souza Espana C. ⚽, Garces C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Torrejon C. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
46', Avila I. ↓, Felipe Vizeu ↑,
46', Pretell J. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Sosa L. ⚽,
55', Cabellos C. 🟥,
57', Pasquini N. ↓, Abram L. ↑,
68', Hohberg A. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
73', Valoyes J. 🟨,
74', Sosa L. ↓, Lora J. ↑,
78', Souza Espana C. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
82', Tavara M. 🟨,
90', Garces C. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
90', Neira C. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
90+2', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Tavara M. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Sporting Cristal is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J. (Broken calfbone)

There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Iberico L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:25. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:9. (average 3.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
01.11.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal	1:4 ✺
26.10.25	Sporting Cristal - Los Chankas	0:1 ✺
23.10.25	Sporting Cristal - Universitario de Deportes	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL
- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
02.11.25	Cienciano - Juan Pablo II College	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Cienciano - Cusco	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Cajamarca - Cienciano	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	FBC Melgar - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
05.07.25	Cienciano - Sporting Cristal	1:1
27.07.24	Sporting Cristal - Cienciano	5:1
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Cienciano - Sporting Cristal	2:1
Peruvian Liga 1
09.02.24	Cienciano - Sporting Cristal	2:2
22.10.23	Cienciano - Sporting Cristal	1:0
01.06.23	Sporting Cristal - Cienciano	4:2
11.09.22	Sporting Cristal - Cienciano	4:1

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