Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Uzcategui J. (Ven)


	Caracas		Academia Anzoátegui

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.7
	1.82	3.55	4.05
	1.84	3.71	4.01
	1.91	3.2	3.8
	1.8	3.42	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.92)	3.48 ↑ (3.33)	3.9 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
49.9%

Draw
26.5%

Academia Anzoátegui
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27.7%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Academia Anzoátegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Caracas - Academia Anzoátegui Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Caracas will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 4. Quintero J. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 11. Marquez M. 19. Mago L. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 7. Robert Hernandez 9. Fernandez A. 17. Reinoso L.	1. Hernandez W. (G) 18. Lovera J. 2. Valencia D. 22. Guevara D. 30. Granados J. 16. Silgado J. 8. Ruiz E. 70. Rojas P. 99. Sinza F. 7. Marin G. (C) 21. Velasco A.
Substitutes
33. Correa W. 22. Figueroa A. 27. Gonzalez S. 36. Gudino D. 15. Larotonda C. 35. Lezama R. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 3. Pagano L. 43. Palma R. 37. Vegas C. 12. Vegas J. (G)	13. Aguero J. (G) 80. Alvarez P. 17. Caraballo J. 20. Castellano J. 10. Contreras A. 29. Gonzalez L. 55. Moreno A. 11. Navas E. 44. Plazas H. 9. Tegues D. 6. Vera A.
Coaches
Aristeguieta F.	Maldonado G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Marin G. (Penalty Awarded),
12', Marin G. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Rojas P. ⚽,
24', Maestre Nino L. A. 🟨,
32', Marquez M. 🟨,
41', Valencia D. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Marin G. ⚽,
45+4', Granados J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Robert Hernandez ↓, Correa W. ↑,
46', Marquez M. ↓, Vegas C. ↑,
46', Quintero J. ↓, Lezama R. ↑,
61', Marin G. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
61', Valencia D. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
64', Yendis J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
69', Sinza F. ↓, Tegues D. ↑,
75', Guevara D. 🟨,
77', Fereira Penaranda E. E. ↓, Martinez Aponte C. A. ↑,
78', Guevara D. ↓, Plazas H. ↑,
78', Velasco A. ↓, Alvarez P. ↑,
87', 0 - 3, Tegues D. ⚽, Silgado J. (A),
90+1', 1 - 3, Fernandez A. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13).

Caracas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Anzoátegui is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Caracas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Caracas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Caracas	11	2	5	4	9:14	-5	11
14	Anzoategui FC	11	1	2	8	6:20	-14	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.04.26	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Monagas - Caracas	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Caracas - Trujillanos	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWTWT
- Academia Anzoátegui
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.04.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Universidad Central	2:3 ✺
23.03.26	Metropolitanos - Academia Anzoátegui	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Monagas - Academia Anzoátegui	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
18.07.25	Academia Anzoátegui - Caracas	0:1
09.02.25	Caracas - Academia Anzoátegui	1:0

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