Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 28

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)


	Hermanos Colmenares		Caracas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.63	Watch
	4.5	3.65	1.74
	5.25	3.4	1.63
	4.8	3.52	1.7	Watch
	4.5	3.45	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (3.22)	3.52 ↑ (3.08)	1.69 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermanos Colmenares
19.3%

Draw
26.1%

Caracas
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

29.9%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermanos Colmenares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hermanos Colmenares's form might have worsened.

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caracas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermanos Colmenares than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hermanos Colmenares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caracas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.7%	92.3%

Hermanos Colmenares - Caracas Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caracas: 77.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Teran L. (G) 18. Caricote Y. 4. Manzanilla J. 16. Deusa J. 2. Castro C. 9. Mena Y. 23. Ruiz M. 31. Pernia M. 17. Magallan C. 19. Gonzalez F. 10. Rodriguez D.	1. Baroja A. (G) 30. Casiani L. 2. Luna D. 6. Quijada R. 29. Rivas R. 21. Rodriguez V. 18. Contreras A. 99. Rodriguez S. 27. Rivas E. 7. Celis R. 16. Guarirapa S.
Substitutes
3. Alvarado J. 25. Bolivar D. 35. Caballero F. 30. Collazos J. 1. Curiel L. (G) 5. Moreno J. 24. Osorio J. 27. Rangel J. 6. Rodriguez D. 15. Rodriguez D. 34. Urdaneta A. 13. Yendis J.	8. Flores L. 20. Gonzalez A. 23. Hernandez W. (G) 24. Jimenez N. 14. Mercado E. 11. Oguns A. 34. Padilla D. 28. Rivas A. 39. Salazar L. 22. Sulbaran M. 25. Tamayo B. 33. Urbina L.
Coaches
Vielma L.	Gonzalez L.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Final Group: )).

Recent matches Hermanos Colmenares is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caracas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Caracas is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hermanos Colmenares won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hermanos Colmenares won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Hermanos Colmenares
Venezuelan Primera Division
15.09.23	Deportivo La Guaira - Hermanos Colmenares	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Monagas	2:1 ✺
25.08.23	Angostura - Hermanos Colmenares	0:0 ✺
18.08.23	Carabobo - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
13.08.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTLW
- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.09.23	Caracas - Universidad Central	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Portuguesa Acarígua - Caracas	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Metropolitanos - Caracas	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Caracas - Zamora	4:0 ✺
05.08.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Caracas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
19.02.23	Caracas - Hermanos Colmenares	2:2
18.10.22	Caracas - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0
04.10.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Caracas	0:0
06.08.22	Caracas - Hermanos Colmenares	1:2
17.04.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Caracas	2:1

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