Match Info

Date: 13 April 2022, Wednesday


	Libertad Asuncion		Caracas

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.75	11
	1.29	5.75	8.75
	1.26	5.5	10	Watch
	1.25	5.4	10
	1.29	6.3	9.78
	1.22	5	12	Watch
	1.26	5.75	11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.33)	5.64 ↑ (4.72)	10.36 ↑ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
74.3%

Draw
16.7%

Caracas
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

19.6%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

18.5%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Libertad Asuncion - Caracas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Libertad in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Caracas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Libertad is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.04.22	Libertad Asuncion - Sol de América	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.22	The Strongest - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.04.22	Guaireña - Libertad Asuncion	2:3 ✺
20.03.22	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
14.03.22	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWWW
- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.04.22	Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.04.22	Caracas - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
31.03.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Caracas - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	Metropolitanos - Caracas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
23.09.20	Caracas - Libertad Asuncion	2:1
10.03.20	Libertad Asuncion - Caracas	3:2

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