Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 11

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cardiff City		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.2
	1.9	3.6	3.9
	1.94	3.54	3.93	Watch
	1.97	3.6	4.09
	1.97	3.54	3.85	Watch
	1.91	3.5	4.2
	1.93	3.62	3.88	Watch
	1.94	3.54	3.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	4 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
49.3%

Draw
26.9%

Portsmouth
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	16%	16%

Cardiff City - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alnwick J. (C) 38. Ng P. 4. Goutas D. 12. Chambers C. 11. O'Dowda C. 18. Robertson A. 14. Turnbull D. 32. Tanner O. 27. Colwill R. 20. El Ghazi A. 47. Robinson C.	13. Schmid N. (G) 2. Williams J. 5. Poole R. 16. McIntyre T. 3. Ogilvie C. 7. Pack M. (C) 8. Potts F. 49. Lang C. 32. Lane P. 23. Murphy J. 18. Sorensen E.
Substitutes
23. Bagan J. 5. Daland J. 2. Fish W. 1. Horvath E. (G) 15. Kanga W. 19. Meite Y. 35. Rinomhota A. 16. Willock C.	31. Archer J. (G) 24. Devlin T. 21. Dozzell A. 25. Kamara A. 11. O'Mahony M. 30. Ritchie M. 15. Saydee C. 4. Towler R. 10. Yengi K.
Coaches
Riza O.	Mousinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Poole R. (Own goal),
13', 2 - 0, Robinson C. ⚽, Goutas D. (A),
15', Lane P. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
17', Chambers C. 🟨,
23', Williams J. 🟨,
31', Schmid N. ↓, Archer J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Williams J. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
46', Sorensen E. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
64', Potts F. 🟨,
66', Turnbull D. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
66', Robertson A. ↓, Rinomhota A. ↑,
77', Murphy J. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
78', Tanner O. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
78', El Ghazi A. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
79', Rinomhota A. 🟨,
85', Robinson C. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Cardiff is a favorite.

There will not play in Cardiff: Etete K. (Leg Injury) Fish W. (Muscle Injury) O'Dowda C. (Leg Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Tsunoda R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Portsmouth: Bishop C. (Heart Problems) Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Knee Injury) Lang C. (Muscle Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Calf Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Championship
19.10.24	Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle	5:0 ✺
06.10.24	Bristol City - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
01.10.24	Cardiff City - Millwall	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Hull City - Cardiff City	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	Cardiff City - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWLL
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
19.10.24	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Portsmouth - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
02.10.24	Stoke City - Portsmouth	6:1 ✺
28.09.24	Portsmouth - Sheffield United	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Burnley - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
09.08.22	Cardiff City - Portsmouth	0:3
08.08.17	Cardiff City - Portsmouth	2:1 ET
English League Championship
21.01.12	Cardiff City - Portsmouth	N/A

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