Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Vicarage Road (Watford)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Watford		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.82	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3.1
	2.28	3.36	3.16	Watch
	2.29	3.47	3.22
	2.95	2.52	3.04	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.75
	2.33	3.28	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.47)	3.19 ↓ (3.34)	3.03 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
39%

Draw
29.7%

Blackburn Rovers
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	28.6%	35.7%

Watford - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Blackburn will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Watford (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Blackburn (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Selvik E. (G) 3. Alleyne M. 4. Keben K. 29. Petris J. 34. Baah K. 17. Sissoko M. (C) 5. Kyprianou H. 6. Pollock M. 11. Vata R. 20. Doumbia M. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.	22. Toth B. (G) 2. Alebiosu R. 16. Wharton S. 17. Carter H. 4. Ribeiro Y. 6. Tronstad S. 8. Tavares S. 25. Morishita R. 10. Cantwell T. (C) 19. Hedges R. 23. Ohashi Y.
Substitutes
25. Abankwah J. 12. Baxter N. (G) 16. Bola M. 7. Ince T. 66. Irankunda N. 39. Kayembe E. 14. Maamma O. . Mendy F. 18. Semedo V.	14. De Neve D. 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 11. Gudjohnsen A. 9. Gueye M. 7. Kargbo A. 12. Miller L. 31. Montgomery K. 1. Pears A. (G) 3. Pickering H.
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Ismael V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Morishita R. ⚽, Ohashi Y. (A),
54', Doumbia M. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
54', Vata R. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
58', Cantwell T. 🟨,
67', Pollock M. 🟨,
70', Ribeiro Y. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
70', Ohashi Y. ↓, Gudjohnsen A. ↑,
70', Morishita R. ↓, Kargbo A. ↑,
78', Tronstad S. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
88', Hedges R. 🟨,
90+1', Hedges R. ↓, Pickering H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2.

Watford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Blackburn's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Watford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Louza I. (Red Card) Mendy N. (Inactive) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Blackburn: Baradji M. (Inactive) Forshaw A. (Hamstring Injury) Garrett J. (Surgery) McLoughlin S. (Red Card)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Watford won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.55%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Championship
30.08.25	Watford - Southampton	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Swansea City - Watford	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Watford - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Watford - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
09.08.25	Charlton Athletic - Watford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWLL
- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
30.08.25	Blackburn Rovers - Norwich City	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Hull City - Blackburn Rovers	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Blackburn Rovers - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
09.08.25	West Bromwich Albion - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.04.25	Blackburn Rovers - Watford	2:1
26.10.24	Watford - Blackburn Rovers	1:0
23.12.23	Blackburn Rovers - Watford	1:2
27.08.23	Watford - Blackburn Rovers	0:1
11.02.23	Watford - Blackburn Rovers	1:1
13.09.22	Blackburn Rovers - Watford	2:0
24.02.21	Blackburn Rovers - Watford	2:3

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