The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 31.5%
Draw 29.4%
Bristol City 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
26.8%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
26.5%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Cardiff City - Bristol City Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bristol City will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Alnwick J. (C) 35. Rinomhota A. 4. Goutas D. 23. Bagan J. 11. O'Dowda C. 29. Alves W. 15. Mannsverk S. 20. El Ghazi A. 27. Colwill R. 38. Ng P. 47. Robinson C.
1. O'Leary M. (G) 14. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 24. Roberts H. 17. Sykes M. 6. Bird M. 12. Knight J. (C) 2. McCrorie R. 11. Mehmeti A. 10. Twine S. 30. Armstrong S.
Substitutes
45. Ashford C. 2. Fish W. 49. Giles L. 1. Horvath E. (G) 19. Meite Y. 10. Ramsey A. 22. Salech Y. 31. Simic R. 16. Willock C.
23. Bajic S. (G) 20. Bell S. 27. Cornick H. 40. Earthy G. 7. Hirakawa Y. 29. McGuane M. 31. Morrison E. 19. Tanner G. 21. Wells N.
Coaches
Riza O.
Manning L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Twine S. 🟨,
35', McCrorie R. 🟨,
36', Mannsverk S. 🟨,
42', Goutas D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sykes M. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
46', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
57', McCrorie R. ↓, Tanner G. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Knight J. ⚽, Hirakawa Y. (A),
63', Rinomhota A. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
71', El Ghazi A. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
71', Robinson C. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
72', Armstrong S. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
81', Mannsverk S. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
82', Mehmeti A. ↓, Earthy G. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Salech Y. ⚽, Ashford C. (A),
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Bristol City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Cardiff have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Leg Injury)
Turnbull D.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Bristol City: McNally L.
(Leg Injury)
Pring C.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol City: Benarous A.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:21 (average 1.4:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.1:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Bristol City - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 37.03%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.