Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:00	Optus Sport
Brazil	12:00	Disney+
Canada	10:00	Sportsnet Now Plus
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay
Iceland	15:00	Viaplay
India	20:30	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Philippines	23:00	beIN Connect
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	23:00	StarHub TV+
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Turkey	18:00	Tabii
Usa	10:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	22:00	FPT Play
International	15:00	Disney+


	Stoke City		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.6
	2.1	3.4	3.4
	2.15	3.5	3.5
	2.2	3.5	3.52
	2.08	3.47	3.37	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.14	3.58	3.58	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.07)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
44.9%

Draw
27.8%

Cardiff City
27.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Stoke City aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Stoke City - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bonham J. (G) 22. Tchamadeu J. 5. Rose M. 23. Gibson B. (C) 33. Wilson-Esbrand J. 8. Baker L. 6. Burger W. 7. Vidigal A. 10. Bae J. 11. Koumas L. 37. Tezgel E.	1. Horvath E. (G) 35. Rinomhota A. 2. Fish W. 23. Bagan J. 49. Giles L. 10. Ramsey A. (C) 15. Mannsverk S. 20. El Ghazi A. 27. Colwill R. 16. Willock C. 22. Salech Y.
Substitutes
55. Curley R. 41. Dixon J. 56. Fawunmi F. 34. Fielding F. (G) 18. Lawal B. 4. Pearson B. 26. Phillips A. 12. Seko T. 3. Stevens E.	29. Alves W. 45. Ashford C. 12. Chambers C. 5. Daland J. 11. O'Dowda C. 8. Ralls J. 47. Robinson C. 31. Simic R. 41. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
Robins M.	Riza O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Colwill R. ⚽, El Ghazi A. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Salech Y. ⚽, Bagan J. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Koumas L. ⚽, Burger W. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Giles L. ↓, Daland J. ↑,
46', 2 - 2, Koumas L. ⚽, Wilson-Esbrand J. (A),
57', Daland J. ↓, Chambers C. ↑,
57', 3 - 2, Baker L. (Pen),
63', Ramsey A. ↓, O'Dowda C. ↑,
63', Mannsverk S. ↓, Ralls J. ↑,
68', 3 - 3, Colwill R. ⚽,
73', Baker L. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
74', Vidigal A. ↓, Fawunmi F. ↑,
82', El Ghazi A. ↓, Alves W. ↑,
87', Bae J. ↓, Lawal B. ↑,
87', Wilson-Esbrand J. ↓, Stevens E. ↑,
88', Colwill R. 🟨,
90+7', Gibson B. 🟨,
90+8', O'Dowda C. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Koumas L. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
98', Fish W. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Ralls J. (Pen),
1, Tezgel E. (Pen),
2, Salech Y. (Pen),
2, Seko T. (Pen),
3, Chambers C. (Pen),
3, Rose M. (Pen),
4, Willock C. (Pen),
4, Burger W. (Pen),
5, Colwill R. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Stoke have a series of guest games.

Stoke will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Stoke won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:16 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
01.02.25	Hull City - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Stoke City - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Portsmouth - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
18.01.25	West Bromwich Albion - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Sunderland - Stoke City	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WTLTW
- Cardiff City
English League Championship
01.02.25	Leeds United - Cardiff City	7:0 ✺
25.01.25	Cardiff City - Derby County	2:1 ✺
21.01.25	Millwall - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Cardiff City - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
14.01.25	Cardiff City - Watford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
14.12.24	Stoke City - Cardiff City	2:2
24.02.24	Cardiff City - Stoke City	2:1
04.11.23	Stoke City - Cardiff City	0:0
22.04.23	Cardiff City - Stoke City	1:1
10.12.22	Stoke City - Cardiff City	2:2
16.03.22	Cardiff City - Stoke City	2:1
30.10.21	Stoke City - Cardiff City	3:3

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