Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 31

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cardiff City		Hull City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.63	Watch
	2.81	3.2	2.61	Watch
	2.88	3.28	2.62
	2.81	3.29	2.56	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.5
	2.78	3.34	2.52	Watch
	2.81	3.2	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (1.98)	3.23 ↓ (3.7)	2.58 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
33.8%

Draw
29.4%

Hull City
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

25.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff City's form might have worsened.

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hull City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hull City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.9%	53.1%	25%

Cardiff City - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). Hull will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 51.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horvath E. (G) 35. Rinomhota A. 2. Fish W. 38. Ng P. 11. O'Dowda C. (C) 12. Chambers C. 15. Mannsverk S. 16. Willock C. 47. Robinson C. 45. Ashford C. 22. Salech Y.	1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 5. Jones A. 4. Hughes C. 6. McLoughlin S. 30. Gelhardt J. 27. Slater R. 36. Matazo E. 16. Lincoln 28. Joseph K. 24. Crooks M.
Substitutes
23. Bagan J. 27. Colwill R. 39. Davies I. 20. El Ghazi A. 49. Giles L. 48. Lawlor D. 19. Meite Y. 18. Robertson A. 41. Turner M. (G)	19. Alzate S. 37. Amrabat N. 17. Burns F. 48. Burstow M. 23. Drameh C. 15. Egan J. 12. Joao Pedro Galvao 32. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 20. Puerta G.
Coaches
Riza O.	Selles R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Matazo E. ↓, Puerta G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Slater R. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Robinson C. ⚽,
61', Slater R. ↓, Alzate S. ↑,
61', Joseph K. ↓, Joao Pedro Galvao ↑,
61', Lincoln ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
63', Willock C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
63', Robinson C. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
73', McLoughlin S. ↓, Amrabat N. ↑,
78', Salech Y. ↓, El Ghazi A. ↑,
78', Chambers C. ↓, Bagan J. ↑,
81', Mannsverk S. 🟨,
81', Crooks M. 🟨,
85', Ashford C. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
90+2', Robertson A. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Cardiff have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Cardiff: Daland J. (Calf Injury) Goutas D. (Red Card) Tanner O. (Foot Injury) Turnbull D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M. (Knee Injury) Millar L. (Knee Injury) Palmer K. (Ankle Injury) Zambrano O. (Doping)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Bagan J. (Injury) Chambers C. (Illness) Robertson A. (Muscle Injury) Robinson C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hull: Barry L. (Injury) Hughes C. (Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17:31 (average 0.9:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Championship
22.02.25	Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Cardiff City - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
11.02.25	Portsmouth - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Stoke City - Cardiff City	3:4 penalties ✺
English League Championship
01.02.25	Leeds United - Cardiff City	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLWL
- Hull City
English League Championship
22.02.25	Sunderland - Hull City	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Hull City - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Burnley - Hull City	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Hull City - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
24.01.25	Sheffield United - Hull City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
28.09.24	Hull City - Cardiff City	4:1
06.04.24	Cardiff City - Hull City	1:3
16.12.23	Hull City - Cardiff City	3:0
04.02.23	Hull City - Cardiff City	1:0
08.11.22	Cardiff City - Hull City	2:3
15.04.22	Hull City - Cardiff City	2:1
24.11.21	Cardiff City - Hull City	0:1

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