Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 32

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Burnley		Hull City

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.73	3.45	5.4	Watch
	1.74	3.5	5.83
	1.71	3.52	5.5	Watch
	1.73	3.4	5.5
	1.72	3.58	5.87	Watch
	1.73	3.45	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.6)	3.49 ↓ (3.79)	5.57 ↓ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
55.4%

Draw
27.4%

Hull City
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

24.9%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

24.3%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	3.7%	9.3%

Burnley - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: Burnley will win (47 of 54 users predict this - 87.04%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.08% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. (C) 5. Esteve M. 12. Humphreys B. 24. Cullen J. 29. Laurent J. 11. Anthony J. 28. Mejbri H. 17. Foster L. 19. Flemming Z.	1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 5. Jones A. 15. Egan J. 6. McLoughlin S. 36. Matazo E. 19. Alzate S. 24. Crooks M. 44. Kamara A. 28. Joseph K. 30. Gelhardt J.
Substitutes
34. Banel J. 35. Barnes A. 22. Edwards M. 32. Hladky V. (G) 23. Lucas Pires 10. Manuel Hedilazio B. 7. Sarmiento J. 26. Shelvey J. 4. Worrall J.	37. Amrabat N. 22. Barry L. 48. Burstow M. 23. Drameh C. 29. Jacob M. 12. Joao Pedro Galvao 32. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 20. Puerta G. 27. Slater R.
Coaches
Parker S.	Selles R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Humphreys B. ⚽, Foster L. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Flemming Z. ⚽, Anthony J. (A),
41', Jones A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kamara A. ↓, Barry L. ↑,
64', Joseph K. ↓, Joao Pedro Galvao ↑,
65', Crooks M. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
74', Flemming Z. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
80', Mejbri H. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
84', Gelhardt J. ↓, Amrabat N. ↑,
85', Matazo E. ↓, Slater R. ↑,
90+2', Foster L. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
90+2', Anthony J. ↓, Worrall J. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 1.

Burnley is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hull is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Burnley is a favorite.

There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M. (Knee Injury) Millar L. (Knee Injury) Palmer K. (Ankle Injury) Zambrano O. (Doping)

There are questionable in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Redmond N. (Leg Injury)

Our prediction for today's Burnley to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Burnley won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.8:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Southampton - Burnley	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
04.02.25	Burnley - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Portsmouth - Burnley	0:0 ✺
27.01.25	Burnley - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Plymouth Argyle - Burnley	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTTW
- Hull City
English League Championship
01.02.25	Hull City - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
24.01.25	Sheffield United - Hull City	0:3 ✺
21.01.25	Hull City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Millwall - Hull City	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Hull City - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
23.10.24	Hull City - Burnley	1:1
15.03.23	Hull City - Burnley	1:3
16.08.22	Burnley - Hull City	1:1
English Premier League
25.02.17	Hull City - Burnley	1:1
10.09.16	Burnley - Hull City	1:1
English League Championship
06.02.16	Burnley - Hull City	1:0
26.12.15	Hull City - Burnley	3:0

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